RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-08-31 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.50
- Signal consistency
- 55%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 78,581.29
System assessment “bullish bias”, trend score +0.50（confidence 55%）, previous day: “neutral with a bearish bias”（-0.10）. BTC closed at $78,581.29, daily change +1.16%, intraday range amplitude 2.39%; 3-day +0.94%, 7-day -0.52%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bullish crossover state（spread +3.87%, 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 12 days ago）. Derivatives, perpetual open interest +1.56%, daily average funding rate +0.0095%（previous 7 days +0.0082%）, taker buy/sell ratio 0.989, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.081 → 0.995, top trader account long/short ratio 1.158 → 1.056. Fear & Greed Index 62（Greed）. Main bullish factors: daily EMA trend, daily change; Main bearish factors: change in top trader long/short ratio, change in Fear & Greed Index.
The above is the archive for 2026-08-31. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $78,581.29, UTC 2026-08-31 00:00 open $77,682.00, daily change +1.16% (previous close $77,682.00)
- Intraday high $79,250.00 / low $77,392.00, range amplitude 2.39%; 30-day range $62,300.00 – $81,478.87
- Momentum: 3-day +0.94%, 7-day -0.52%, 30-day +25.08%; 30-day daily volatility 2.21%
- Daily EMA10 $77,087.91 / EMA20 $74,045.91, spread +3.87%（of close）, bullish crossover state（EMA10 above EMA20）; latest crossover: 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 12 days ago
- Spot volume 15,304 BTC（approximately 1.198 billion USDT）, latest 7-day volume versus previous 7 days -42.31%
- Perpetual open interest 106,320 → 107,978 BTC (+1.56%, +1,658 BTC); notional value approximately USD 8.482 billion
- Average daily funding rate +0.0095% (08:00 +0.0100% / 16:00 +0.0100% / next day 00:00 +0.0085%); preceding 7-day average +0.0082%, annualized approximately +10.4%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.989（buy 64,351 / sell 65,053 BTC）, 9/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.081 → 0.995（-7.99%）; top trader account long/short ratio 1.158 → 1.056（-8.78%）; top trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.098
- Fear & Greed Index 69 → 62（Greed，-7）
24H market review
- Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $77,682.00 → $78,016.00, +0.43%, range $77,392.00 – $78,185.89, volume 3,193 BTC (20.9% of daily total)
- Early afternoon（UTC 06:00–12:00）: $78,016.01 → $78,315.43, +0.38%, range $77,864.16 – $78,802.00, volume 4,151 BTC（of daily volume 27.1%）
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $78,315.43 → $78,897.36, +0.74%, range $77,675.04 – $79,019.86, volume 5,569 BTC (36.4% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Closing session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $78,897.35 → $78,581.29, -0.40%, range $78,405.01 – $79,250.00, volume 2,391 BTC (15.6% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | 0.521 | +0.208 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | 0.246 | +0.039 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | -0.089 | -0.014 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 1.752 | +0.280 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | 0.520 | +0.083 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | 0.255 | +0.020 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.025 | +0.002 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -0.216 | -0.035 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | 1.598 | +0.128 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | -1.756 | -0.140 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | -0.875 | -0.070 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-08-31 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-01 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.213 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-08-31: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.