RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-14 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.25
- Signal consistency
- 48%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 78,189.21
System assessment “neutral with a bullish bias”, trend score +0.25（confidence 48%）, previous day: “neutral with a bearish bias”（-0.35）. BTC closed at $78,189.21, daily change +1.75%, intraday range amplitude 4.18%; 3-day +1.25%, 7-day -1.17%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bullish crossover state（spread +0.91%, 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 26 days ago）. Derivatives, perpetual open interest -1.32%, daily average funding rate +0.0053%（previous 7 days +0.0055%）, taker buy/sell ratio 0.998, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.663 → 1.163, top trader account long/short ratio 1.753 → 1.214. Fear & Greed Index 57（Greed）. Main bullish factors: daily change, change in retail long/short ratio; Main bearish factors: change in top trader long/short ratio, change in open interest.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-14. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $78,189.21, UTC 2026-09-14 00:00 open $76,842.01, daily change +1.75%（previous close $76,842.01）
- Intraday high $79,600.00 / low $76,388.72, range amplitude 4.18%; 30-day range $62,716.00 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day +1.25%, 7-day -1.17%, 30-day +23.94%; 30-day daily volatility 2.48%
- Daily EMA10 $77,848.50 / EMA20 $77,135.47, gap +0.91% (as % of close), golden-cross state (EMA10 above EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 26 days ago
- Spot volume 15,413 BTC (approximately 1.205 billion USDT); latest 7-day volume versus preceding 7 days +4.31%
- Perpetual open interest 104,897 → 103,517 BTC (-1.32%, -1,380 BTC); notional value approximately USD 8.093 billion
- Daily average funding rate +0.0053% (08:00 +0.0080% / 16:00 +0.0042% / next day 00:00 +0.0036%), previous 7-day average +0.0055%, approximately annualized +5.8%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.998（buy 82,679 / sell 82,856 BTC）, 11/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.663 → 1.163（-30.06%）; top trader account long/short ratio 1.753 → 1.214（-30.76%）; top trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.064
- Fear & Greed Index 61 → 57 (Greed, -4)
24H market review
- Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $76,842.01 → $77,611.79, +1.00%, range $76,388.72 – $77,869.82, volume 4,065 BTC (26.4% of daily total)
- Late morning session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $77,611.79 → $77,776.00, +0.21%, range $77,379.41 – $78,374.01, volume 2,817 BTC (18.3% of daily total)
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $77,776.00 → $78,937.98, +1.49%, range $77,481.98 – $79,048.44, volume 5,088 BTC (33% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Closing session（UTC 18:00–24:00）: $78,937.98 → $78,189.21, -0.95%, range $78,131.30 – $79,600.00, volume 3,444 BTC（of daily volume 22.3%）
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | 0.702 | +0.281 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | 0.289 | +0.046 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | -0.179 | -0.029 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.368 | +0.059 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | -0.439 | -0.070 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | -0.055 | -0.004 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.236 | +0.019 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -0.042 | -0.007 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | 3.000 | +0.240 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | -3.000 | -0.240 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | -0.500 | -0.040 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-14 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-15 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.249 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-14: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.