RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin

Bitcoin · 2026-09-16 Daily assessment archive

UTC trading day 2026-09-16Scoring version 2026-09-25.2Content status Data and scores · AI text not generated

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ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period

Trend score / −3 to +3: -0.20
Signal consistency: 43%
Archived close / USDT / BTC: 76,206.01

System assessment: “Neutral, bearish tilt”, trend score -0.20 (confidence 43%), previous day: “Bearish bias” (-0.88). BTC closed at $76,206.01, daily change +0.74%, intraday range 1.98%; 3-day -0.83%, 7-day -2.68%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in golden-cross status (spread +0.40%, 2026-08-19 golden cross, 28 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest +0.40%, average daily funding rate +0.0058% (preceding 7 days +0.0057%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.967, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.818 → 1.525, top-trader account long/short ratio 1.982 → 1.588. Fear & Greed Index 51 (Neutral). Main bullish factors: change in retail long/short ratio, daily change; Main bearish factors: change in top-trader long/short ratio, change in Fear & Greed Index.

The above is the archive for 2026-09-16. The original uses “confidence,” interpreted on this site as signal consistency; it cannot directly mean probability of a rise or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its contemporaneous wording.

01 / Data and market review

Key data

Close $76,206.01, UTC 2026-09-16 00:00 open $75,644.48, daily change +0.74% (previous close $75,644.48)
Intraday high $76,560.76 / low $75,064.82, range amplitude 1.98%; 30-day range $64,027.85 – $82,300.00
Momentum: 3-day -0.83%, 7-day -2.68%, 30-day +18.09%; 30-day daily volatility 2.58%
Daily EMA10 $77,222.00 / EMA20 $76,918.48, spread +0.40%（of close）, bullish crossover state（EMA10 above EMA20）; latest crossover: 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 28 days ago
Spot volume 14,888 BTC (approximately 1.129 billion USDT); latest 7-day volume versus preceding 7 days +1.11%
Perpetual open interest 107,492 → 107,918 BTC (+0.40%, +426 BTC); notional value approximately USD 8.221 billion
Average daily funding rate +0.0058% (08:00 +0.0028% / 16:00 +0.0053% / next day 00:00 +0.0094%); preceding 7-day average +0.0057%, annualized approximately +6.3%
24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.967（buy 76,829 / sell 79,447 BTC）, 9/24 hoursbuyers dominant
Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.818 → 1.525 (-16.09%); large-trader account long/short ratio 1.982 → 1.588 (-19.90%); large-trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.330
Fear & Greed Index 69 → 51 (Neutral, -18)

24H market review

Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $75,644.48 → $75,962.01, +0.42%, range $75,457.52 – $76,111.00, volume 2,306 BTC (15.5% of daily total)
Late morning session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $75,962.01 → $76,250.00, +0.38%, range $75,350.00 – $76,304.01, volume 3,106 BTC (20.9% of daily total)
Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $76,250.00 → $75,768.01, -0.63%, range $75,353.07 – $76,300.00, volume 3,578 BTC (24% of daily total)
Closing session（UTC 18:00–24:00）: $75,770.45 → $76,206.01, +0.57%, range $75,064.82 – $76,560.76, volume 5,897 BTC（of daily volume 39.6%）, the day's elevated-volume session

02 / Scoring basis

Factor	Weight	Standardized value z	Score contribution	Availability status
Daily change	25%	0.286	+0.114	Provided
3-day momentum	10%	-0.186	-0.030	Provided
7-day momentum	10%	-0.398	-0.064	Provided
Daily EMA trend	10%	0.154	+0.025	Provided
Change in open interest	10%	0.132	+0.021	Provided
Funding-rate change	5%	0.014	+0.001	Provided
Funding-rate crowding	5%	0.210	+0.017	Provided
Aggressive buy/sell ratio	10%	-0.658	-0.105	Provided
Change in retail long/short ratio	5%	3.000	+0.240	Provided
Change in top-trader long/short ratio	5%	-3.000	-0.240	Provided
Change in Fear & Greed Index	5%	-2.250	-0.180	Provided

Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.

03 / AI analysis and content status

Data and system scores are included for this period. The original archive's AI status is pending; no AI commentary is attached.

Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.

04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources

The original archive lists no missing items or quality warnings; this reflects only archive fields and does not imply independent verification of market data.

Data window 2026-09-16 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-17 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.254 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.

Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.

Spot daily chart

https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)

Spot volume by session

https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)

Funding rate

https://www.binance.com

Top trader account long/short ratio

https://www.binance.com

Large-trader long/short position ratio

https://www.binance.com

Taker buying and selling

https://www.binance.com

Futures open interest

https://www.binance.com

Market-wide account long/short ratio

https://www.binance.com

Fear & Greed Index

https://api.alternative.me/fng/

This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗

FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT

Page highlights and supporting materials

What period and materials does this archive cover?

Bitcoin 2026-09-16 UTC trading-day historical assessment: data and scores · AI text not generated. Retains that period's data, scoring version and sources for reviewing contemporaneous observations; historical views do not represent current market conditions.

Material date:2026-09-16(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.

Summary compiled:October 11, 2026 · Original data timestamps are as stated in the listed materials · Permalink to this section