RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-18 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +1.56
- Signal consistency
- 84%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 80,883.87
System assessment: “Bullish”, trend score +1.56 (confidence 84%), previous day: “Neutral” (0.00). BTC closed at $80,883.87, daily change +5.84%, intraday range amplitude 6.68%; 3-day +6.93%, 7-day +4.74%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a golden-cross state (gap +0.64%, 2026-08-19 golden cross, 30 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest -0.28%, daily average funding rate +0.0071% (previous 7 days +0.0058%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 1.063, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.445 → 0.902, large-trader account long/short ratio 1.518 → 0.983. Fear & Greed Index 56 (Greed). Main bullish factors: daily change, 3-day momentum; Main bearish factors: change in large-trader long/short ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-18. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $80,883.87, UTC 2026-09-18 00:00 open $76,417.01, daily change +5.84% (previous close $76,417.01)
- Intraday high $81,400.00 / low $76,296.00, range 6.68%; 30-day range $68,902.22 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day +6.93%, 7-day +4.74%, 30-day +16.66%; 30-day daily volatility 2.56%
- Daily EMA10 $77,768.04 / EMA20 $77,252.92, spread +0.64% (of closing price), golden-cross status (EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 30 days ago
- Spot volume 23,908 BTC (approximately 1898 million USDT); volume over the past 7 days versus the previous 7 days +5.05%
- Perpetual open interest 108,245 → 107,939 BTC (-0.28%, -307 BTC); notional value approximately USD 8.728 billion
- Daily average funding rate +0.0071% (08:00 +0.0079% / 16:00 +0.0069% / next day 00:00 +0.0066%), previous 7-day average +0.0058%, approximately annualized +7.8%
- 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 1.063 (buy 113,770 / sell 107,051 BTC); 12/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.445 → 0.902 (-37.61%); large-trader account long/short ratio 1.518 → 0.983 (-35.28%); large-trader position long/short ratio closed at 1.976
- Fear & Greed Index 50 → 56(Greed,+6)
24H market review
- Early session(UTC 00:00–06:00): $76,417.01 → $77,493.80, +1.41%, range $76,296.00 – $77,715.48, volume 4,029 BTC(of daily volume 16.9%)
- Early afternoon(UTC 06:00–12:00): $77,493.80 → $78,062.00, +0.73%, range $77,402.32 – $78,490.79, volume 4,987 BTC(of daily volume 20.9%)
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $78,062.01 → $81,019.00, +3.79%, range $77,972.30 – $81,258.01, volume 11,086 BTC (46.4% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Closing session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $81,019.00 → $80,883.87, -0.17%, range $80,796.92 – $81,400.00, volume 3,806 BTC (15.9% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | 2.222 | +0.889 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | 1.512 | +0.242 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | 0.684 | +0.109 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.249 | +0.040 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | -0.094 | -0.015 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | 0.266 | +0.021 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.143 | +0.011 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | 1.256 | +0.201 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | 3.000 | +0.240 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | -3.000 | -0.240 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | 0.750 | +0.060 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-18 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-19 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.260 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-18: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.