RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-20 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.37
- Signal consistency
- 48%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 81,178.00
System assessment: “Neutral with bullish bias”, trend score +0.37 (confidence 48%), previous day: “Bullish bias” (+0.78). BTC closed at $81,178.00, daily change -0.09%, intraday range amplitude 1.69%; 3-day +6.23%, 7-day +5.64%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a golden-cross state (gap +1.15%, 2026-08-19 golden cross, 32 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest +0.12%, daily average funding rate +0.0072% (previous 7 days +0.0068%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.970, market-wide account long/short ratio 0.942 → 0.961, large-trader account long/short ratio 1.094 → 1.116. Fear & Greed Index 71 (Greed). Main bullish factors: 3-day momentum, 7-day momentum; Main bearish factors: aggressive buy/sell ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-20. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $81,178.00, UTC 2026-09-20 00:00 open $81,249.99, daily change -0.09%(previous close $81,249.99)
- Intraday high $81,497.33 / low $80,126.04, range 1.69%; 30-day range $74,967.97 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day +6.23%, 7-day +5.64%, 30-day +3.63%; 30-day daily volatility 2.30%
- Daily EMA10 $78,906.01 / EMA20 $77,971.16, spread +1.15%(of close), bullish crossover state(EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 32 days ago
- Spot volume 10,994 BTC(approximately 0.888 billion USDT), latest 7-day volume versus previous 7 days +15.41%
- Perpetual open interest 107,646 → 107,778 BTC(+0.12%, +131 BTC), notional value approximately USD 8.746 billion
- Average daily funding rate +0.0072% (08:00 +0.0100% / 16:00 +0.0075% / next day 00:00 +0.0042%); preceding 7-day average +0.0068%, annualized approximately +7.9%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.970(buy 47,628 / sell 49,080 BTC), 11/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 0.942 → 0.961 (+1.98%); large-trader account long/short ratio 1.094 → 1.116 (+1.95%); large-trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.096
- Fear & Greed Index 71 → 71(Greed,0)
24H market review
- Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $81,249.99 → $80,494.31, -0.93%, range $80,126.04 – $81,330.01, volume 4,183 BTC (38% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Early afternoon(UTC 06:00–12:00): $80,494.31 → $80,493.20, -0.00%, range $80,165.49 – $80,607.50, volume 1,983 BTC(of daily volume 18%)
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $80,493.21 → $81,147.94, +0.81%, range $80,327.64 – $81,497.33, volume 3,204 BTC (29.1% of daily total)
- Closing session(UTC 18:00–24:00): $81,147.94 → $81,178.00, +0.04%, range $80,579.43 – $81,332.01, volume 1,624 BTC(of daily volume 14.8%)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | -0.039 | -0.016 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | 1.518 | +0.243 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | 0.902 | +0.144 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.501 | +0.080 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | -0.041 | -0.007 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | 0.085 | +0.007 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.138 | +0.011 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -0.592 | -0.095 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | -0.397 | -0.032 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | 0.389 | +0.031 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | 0.000 | +0.000 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-20 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-21 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.265 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-20: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.