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RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin

Bitcoin · 2026-09-24 Daily assessment archive

UTC trading day 2026-09-24Scoring version 2026-09-25.2Content status Includes AI analysis

ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period

Trend score / −3 to +3
+0.01
Signal consistency
40%
Archived close / USDT / BTC
84,410.24

System assessment “neutral with a bullish bias”, trend score +0.01(confidence 40%), previous day: “neutral with a bullish bias”(+0.31). BTC closed at $84,410.24, daily change +0.01%, intraday range amplitude 2.45%; 3-day -2.55%, 7-day +10.46%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bullish crossover state(spread +2.36%, 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 36 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest -2.67%, daily average funding rate +0.0021%(previous 7 days +0.0063%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.975, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.161 → 1.219, top trader account long/short ratio 1.305 → 1.315. Fear & Greed Index 71(Greed). Main bullish factors: 7-day momentum, daily EMA trend; Main bearish factors: change in open interest, 3-day momentum.

The above is the archive for 2026-09-24. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.

01 / Data and market review

Key data

  • Close $84,410.24, UTC 2026-09-24 00:00 open $84,397.60, daily change +0.01% (previous close $84,397.60)
  • Intraday high $84,942.45 / low $82,874.93, range 2.45%; 30-day range $74,967.97 – $87,395.67
  • Momentum: 3-day -2.55%, 7-day +10.46%, 30-day +7.47%; 30-day daily volatility 2.25%
  • Daily EMA10 $82,380.71 / EMA20 $80,390.41, spread +2.36% (of closing price), golden-cross status (EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 36 days ago
  • Spot volume 18,704 BTC (approximately 1572 million USDT); volume over the past 7 days versus the previous 7 days +43.08%
  • Perpetual open interest 98,503 → 95,873 BTC (-2.67%, -2,630 BTC), notional value approximately $8089 million
  • Daily average funding rate +0.0021%(08:00 +0.0048% / 16:00 +0.0014% / next day 00:00 +0.0002%), previous 7-day average +0.0063%, approximately annualized +2.4%
  • 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.975(buy 78,540 / sell 80,530 BTC), 11/24 hoursbuyers dominant
  • Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.161 → 1.219 (+5.04%); top-trader account long/short ratio 1.305 → 1.315 (+0.78%); top-trader position long/short ratio closed at 1.934
  • Fear & Greed Index 71 → 71(Greed,0)

24H market review

  • Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $84,397.60 → $83,978.02, -0.50%, range $83,744.70 – $84,494.50, volume 2,780 BTC (14.9% of daily total)
  • Late morning session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $83,978.02 → $83,494.58, -0.58%, range $82,874.93 – $84,622.01, volume 6,314 BTC (33.8% of daily total)
  • Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $83,494.59 → $84,110.00, +0.74%, range $83,346.66 – $84,942.45, volume 6,626 BTC (35.4% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
  • Closing session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $84,110.00 → $84,410.24, +0.36%, range $83,888.00 – $84,660.00, volume 2,983 BTC (15.9% of daily total)

02 / Scoring basis

FactorWeightStandardized value zScore contributionAvailability status
Daily change25%0.007+0.003Provided
3-day momentum10%-0.662-0.106Provided
7-day momentum10%1.669+0.267Provided
Daily EMA trend10%1.047+0.168Provided
Change in open interest10%-0.890-0.142Provided
Funding-rate change5%-0.823-0.066Provided
Funding-rate crowding5%0.393+0.031Provided
Aggressive buy/sell ratio10%-0.494-0.079Provided
Change in retail long/short ratio5%-1.008-0.081Provided
Change in top-trader long/short ratio5%0.156+0.012Provided
Change in Fear & Greed Index5%0.000+0.000Provided

Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.

03 / AI analysis and content status

The system assessment is “neutral with a bullish bias”, trend score 0.01, confidence 0.4. Close $84,410.24, up 0.01% from previous close, range amplitude 2.45%, low $82,874.93 and high $84,942.45. Down 2.55% over 3 days and up 10.46% over 7 days. Perpetual open interest fell from 98,503 BTC to 95,873 BTC, a change of -2.67%. Daily average funding rate +0.0021%, below the 7-day average +0.0063%. Taker buy/sell ratio 0.975, with sellers slightly dominant. Fear & Greed Index 71, still Greed. The label remains neutral with a bullish bias as on the previous day, while the trend score fell from 0.31 to 0.01. Next trading day, watch the early-afternoon low $82,874.93 and afternoon high $84,942.45.

Key data

  • Close $84,410.24, previous close $84,397.60, up 0.01%, range amplitude 2.45%, high $84,942.45 and low $82,874.93. Price was almost unchanged, with limited volatility.
  • Daily EMA10 is $82,380.71 and EMA20 is $80,390.41, with a gap of +2.36% of the close, in a golden-cross state (EMA10 above EMA20); the last golden cross was on 2026-08-19, lasting 36 days.
  • Volume was 18,704 BTC, with turnover of 1.572 billion USDT; the latest 7 days' volume changed +43.08% versus the preceding 7 days. Volume exceeded the previous week, but the day's price was almost unchanged.
  • Perpetual open interest fell from 98,503 BTC to 95,873 BTC, a change of -2.67%, down 2,630 BTC, with notional value of USD 8.089 billion. Prices were flat while open interest declined.
  • Average daily funding rate +0.0021%, latest 7-day average +0.0063%, annualized +2.4%; the three settlements were +0.0048%, +0.0014% and +0.0002%. Longs still pay, but rates declined at each settlement.
  • Taker buy/sell ratio 0.975, buying 78,540 BTC and selling 80,530 BTC; buying dominated in 11/24 hours, with a final-hour ratio of 0.776. Sellers were slightly stronger overall, with more pronounced selling pressure toward the close.

24H market review

  • UTC 00:00–06:00 opened at $84,397.60 and closed at $83,978.02, down 0.50%, with a high of $84,494.50 and low of $83,744.70, volume 2,780 BTC, 14.9% of the daily total. Prices drifted lower in the early session on relatively low volume.
  • UTC 06:00–12:00 opened at $83,978.02 and closed at $83,494.58, down 0.58%, with a high of $84,622.01 and low of $82,874.93; volume was 6,314 BTC, representing 33.8%. The day's low was tested on increased volume.
  • UTC 12:00–18:00 opened at $83,494.59 and closed at $84,110.00, up 0.74%, with a high of $84,942.45 and low of $83,346.66, volume 6,626 BTC, or 35.4%. An elevated-volume rebound set the intraday high.
  • UTC 18:00–24:00 opened at $84,110.00 and closed at $84,410.24, up 0.36%, with a high of $84,660.00 and low of $83,888.00, volume 2,983 BTC, 15.9% of the total. Gains continued into the close as volume eased.

Long/short dynamics

  • Bull case: the daily golden cross remains intact, with the close above EMA10 at $82,380.71 and EMA20 at $80,390.41; up 10.46% over the past 7 days and 7.47% over the past 30 days.
  • Bulls: the top trader account long/short ratio rose from 1.305 to 1.315, up 0.78%; the top trader position long/short ratio rose from 1.889 to 1.934, up 2.38%.
  • Bearish side: open interest changed -2.67%; taker selling of 80,530 BTC exceeded buying of 78,540 BTC; prices fell 2.55% over 3 days, and the afternoon rebound did not reverse the slight seller advantage.
  • Bears: the retail long/short ratio rose from 1.161 to 1.219, up 5.04%, with long accounts at 54.94%; the Fear & Greed Index was 71, in Greed as on the previous day.
  • Overall: the assessment remains neutral with a bullish bias, trend score 0.01 versus 0.31 on the previous trading day. The 7-day momentum contribution 0.267 (z 1.669) and daily moving-average contribution 0.168 are bullish, while 3-day momentum -0.106 and open interest -0.142 are bearish.

Risk notice

  • The retail long/short ratio rose 5.04% and the Fear & Greed Index remained at 71, indicating heated sentiment and retail long positioning, while prices were nearly flat and open interest fell, creating divergence.
  • Funding rate fell from +0.0048% to +0.0002%, indicating weaker willingness to pay among longs; the final-hour taker buy/sell ratio was 0.776, with heavier near-term selling pressure.
  • The 30-day range is $74,967.97–$87,395.67, with 30-day realized volatility of 2.25%; intraday price reached $82,874.93 before touching $84,942.45, and further reversals remain possible.

AI text generated: 2026-09-25 15:09:44.777 UTC · Model grok-4.7. The content above preserves the output generated at that time; subsequent market changes require separate review.

04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources

The original archive lists no missing items or quality warnings; this reflects only archive fields and does not imply independent verification of market data.

Data window 2026-09-24 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-25 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 15:07:52.052 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.

Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.

Spot daily chart

https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)

Spot volume by session

https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)

Top trader account long/short ratio

https://www.binance.com

Funding rate

https://www.binance.com

Futures open interest

https://www.binance.com

Taker buying and selling

https://www.binance.com

Large-trader long/short position ratio

https://www.binance.com

Market-wide account long/short ratio

https://www.binance.com

Fear & Greed Index

https://api.alternative.me/fng/

This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗

FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT

Page highlights and supporting materials

What period and materials does this archive cover?

Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-24: Includes AI analysis, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.

Material date:(UTC trading day); status: Includes AI analysis. Original date and version retained.

Summary compiled: · Original data timestamps are as stated in the listed materials · Permalink to this section

Research report library Bitcoin · 2026-09-24 Daily assessment archive