RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-24 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.01
- Signal consistency
- 40%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 84,410.24
System assessment “neutral with a bullish bias”, trend score +0.01(confidence 40%), previous day: “neutral with a bullish bias”(+0.31). BTC closed at $84,410.24, daily change +0.01%, intraday range amplitude 2.45%; 3-day -2.55%, 7-day +10.46%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bullish crossover state(spread +2.36%, 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 36 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest -2.67%, daily average funding rate +0.0021%(previous 7 days +0.0063%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.975, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.161 → 1.219, top trader account long/short ratio 1.305 → 1.315. Fear & Greed Index 71(Greed). Main bullish factors: 7-day momentum, daily EMA trend; Main bearish factors: change in open interest, 3-day momentum.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-24. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $84,410.24, UTC 2026-09-24 00:00 open $84,397.60, daily change +0.01% (previous close $84,397.60)
- Intraday high $84,942.45 / low $82,874.93, range 2.45%; 30-day range $74,967.97 – $87,395.67
- Momentum: 3-day -2.55%, 7-day +10.46%, 30-day +7.47%; 30-day daily volatility 2.25%
- Daily EMA10 $82,380.71 / EMA20 $80,390.41, spread +2.36% (of closing price), golden-cross status (EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 36 days ago
- Spot volume 18,704 BTC (approximately 1572 million USDT); volume over the past 7 days versus the previous 7 days +43.08%
- Perpetual open interest 98,503 → 95,873 BTC (-2.67%, -2,630 BTC), notional value approximately $8089 million
- Daily average funding rate +0.0021%(08:00 +0.0048% / 16:00 +0.0014% / next day 00:00 +0.0002%), previous 7-day average +0.0063%, approximately annualized +2.4%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.975(buy 78,540 / sell 80,530 BTC), 11/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.161 → 1.219 (+5.04%); top-trader account long/short ratio 1.305 → 1.315 (+0.78%); top-trader position long/short ratio closed at 1.934
- Fear & Greed Index 71 → 71(Greed,0)
24H market review
- Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $84,397.60 → $83,978.02, -0.50%, range $83,744.70 – $84,494.50, volume 2,780 BTC (14.9% of daily total)
- Late morning session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $83,978.02 → $83,494.58, -0.58%, range $82,874.93 – $84,622.01, volume 6,314 BTC (33.8% of daily total)
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $83,494.59 → $84,110.00, +0.74%, range $83,346.66 – $84,942.45, volume 6,626 BTC (35.4% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Closing session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $84,110.00 → $84,410.24, +0.36%, range $83,888.00 – $84,660.00, volume 2,983 BTC (15.9% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | 0.007 | +0.003 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | -0.662 | -0.106 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | 1.669 | +0.267 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 1.047 | +0.168 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | -0.890 | -0.142 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | -0.823 | -0.066 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.393 | +0.031 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -0.494 | -0.079 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | -1.008 | -0.081 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | 0.156 | +0.012 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | 0.000 | +0.000 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
The system assessment is “neutral with a bullish bias”, trend score 0.01, confidence 0.4. Close $84,410.24, up 0.01% from previous close, range amplitude 2.45%, low $82,874.93 and high $84,942.45. Down 2.55% over 3 days and up 10.46% over 7 days. Perpetual open interest fell from 98,503 BTC to 95,873 BTC, a change of -2.67%. Daily average funding rate +0.0021%, below the 7-day average +0.0063%. Taker buy/sell ratio 0.975, with sellers slightly dominant. Fear & Greed Index 71, still Greed. The label remains neutral with a bullish bias as on the previous day, while the trend score fell from 0.31 to 0.01. Next trading day, watch the early-afternoon low $82,874.93 and afternoon high $84,942.45.
Key data
- Close $84,410.24, previous close $84,397.60, up 0.01%, range amplitude 2.45%, high $84,942.45 and low $82,874.93. Price was almost unchanged, with limited volatility.
- Daily EMA10 is $82,380.71 and EMA20 is $80,390.41, with a gap of +2.36% of the close, in a golden-cross state (EMA10 above EMA20); the last golden cross was on 2026-08-19, lasting 36 days.
- Volume was 18,704 BTC, with turnover of 1.572 billion USDT; the latest 7 days' volume changed +43.08% versus the preceding 7 days. Volume exceeded the previous week, but the day's price was almost unchanged.
- Perpetual open interest fell from 98,503 BTC to 95,873 BTC, a change of -2.67%, down 2,630 BTC, with notional value of USD 8.089 billion. Prices were flat while open interest declined.
- Average daily funding rate +0.0021%, latest 7-day average +0.0063%, annualized +2.4%; the three settlements were +0.0048%, +0.0014% and +0.0002%. Longs still pay, but rates declined at each settlement.
- Taker buy/sell ratio 0.975, buying 78,540 BTC and selling 80,530 BTC; buying dominated in 11/24 hours, with a final-hour ratio of 0.776. Sellers were slightly stronger overall, with more pronounced selling pressure toward the close.
24H market review
- UTC 00:00–06:00 opened at $84,397.60 and closed at $83,978.02, down 0.50%, with a high of $84,494.50 and low of $83,744.70, volume 2,780 BTC, 14.9% of the daily total. Prices drifted lower in the early session on relatively low volume.
- UTC 06:00–12:00 opened at $83,978.02 and closed at $83,494.58, down 0.58%, with a high of $84,622.01 and low of $82,874.93; volume was 6,314 BTC, representing 33.8%. The day's low was tested on increased volume.
- UTC 12:00–18:00 opened at $83,494.59 and closed at $84,110.00, up 0.74%, with a high of $84,942.45 and low of $83,346.66, volume 6,626 BTC, or 35.4%. An elevated-volume rebound set the intraday high.
- UTC 18:00–24:00 opened at $84,110.00 and closed at $84,410.24, up 0.36%, with a high of $84,660.00 and low of $83,888.00, volume 2,983 BTC, 15.9% of the total. Gains continued into the close as volume eased.
Long/short dynamics
- Bull case: the daily golden cross remains intact, with the close above EMA10 at $82,380.71 and EMA20 at $80,390.41; up 10.46% over the past 7 days and 7.47% over the past 30 days.
- Bulls: the top trader account long/short ratio rose from 1.305 to 1.315, up 0.78%; the top trader position long/short ratio rose from 1.889 to 1.934, up 2.38%.
- Bearish side: open interest changed -2.67%; taker selling of 80,530 BTC exceeded buying of 78,540 BTC; prices fell 2.55% over 3 days, and the afternoon rebound did not reverse the slight seller advantage.
- Bears: the retail long/short ratio rose from 1.161 to 1.219, up 5.04%, with long accounts at 54.94%; the Fear & Greed Index was 71, in Greed as on the previous day.
- Overall: the assessment remains neutral with a bullish bias, trend score 0.01 versus 0.31 on the previous trading day. The 7-day momentum contribution 0.267 (z 1.669) and daily moving-average contribution 0.168 are bullish, while 3-day momentum -0.106 and open interest -0.142 are bearish.
Risk notice
- The retail long/short ratio rose 5.04% and the Fear & Greed Index remained at 71, indicating heated sentiment and retail long positioning, while prices were nearly flat and open interest fell, creating divergence.
- Funding rate fell from +0.0048% to +0.0002%, indicating weaker willingness to pay among longs; the final-hour taker buy/sell ratio was 0.776, with heavier near-term selling pressure.
- The 30-day range is $74,967.97–$87,395.67, with 30-day realized volatility of 2.25%; intraday price reached $82,874.93 before touching $84,942.45, and further reversals remain possible.
AI text generated: 2026-09-25 15:09:44.777 UTC · Model grok-4.7. The content above preserves the output generated at that time; subsequent market changes require separate review.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-24 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-25 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 15:07:52.052 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-24: Includes AI analysis, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: Includes AI analysis. Original date and version retained.