RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-08-31 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.02
- Signal consistency
- 44%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,456.96
System assessment: “Neutral with bullish bias”, trend score +0.02 (confidence 44%), previous trading day: “Bearish bias” (-1.39). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,456.96, daily change -0.21%, intraday range amplitude 1.69%; 3-day -3.66%, 5-day -4.83%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a golden-cross state (gap +1.69%, 2026-08-05 golden cross, 18 trading days ago). Macro, U.S. Dollar Index 99.43 (-0.27%), U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.758% (+3.8bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest -0.59%, daily average funding rate +0.0087% (previous 7 days +0.0021%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 1.028. Main bullish factors: change in U.S. Dollar Index, daily EMA trend; Main bearish factors: 5-day (weekly) momentum, 3-day momentum.
The above is the archive for 2026-08-31. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,456.96, UTC 2026-08-31 00:00 open $4,462.03, versus previous trading day (2026-08-28) close $4,466.23 -0.21%
- Intraday high $4,476.81 / low $4,401.50, range amplitude 1.69%; 30-day range $4,027.74 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day -3.66%, 5-day -4.83%, 30-day +9.92%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.68%
- Daily EMA10 $4,517.35 / EMA20 $4,441.95, spread +1.69% (of closing price), golden-cross status (EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-05 golden cross, 18 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 99.70 → 99.43（-0.27%）, 5-day +0.43%
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.720% → 4.758% (+3.8bp), 5-day +5.4bp
- Perpetual futures volume 406000 ounces (approximately 1804 million USDT); volume over the past 5 trading days versus the previous 5 days +1.04%
- Perpetual open interest 92,000 → 92,000 ounces（-0.59%）, notional value approximately USD 0.409 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0087%, previous 7-day average +0.0021%, approximately annualized +19.1%
- 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 1.028 (buy 206000 / sell 200000ounces); 13/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 2.648 → 2.579 (-2.61%); top-trader account long/short ratio 2.575 → 2.658 (+3.20%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-08-25): COMEX gold managed-money net long 144,747 contracts, weekly change +3,099 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,462.03 → $4,447.10, -0.34%, range $4,401.50 – $4,476.81, volume 161,000 ounces (39.6% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,447.10 → $4,459.58, +0.28%, range $4,434.02 – $4,468.13, volume 77000 ounces (18.9% of daily total)
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,459.56 → $4,440.73, -0.42%, range $4,421.07 – $4,465.34, volume 129000 ounces (31.7% of daily total)
- Late US session（UTC 18:00–24:00）: $4,440.73 → $4,456.96, +0.36%, range $4,430.90 – $4,460.43, volume 39,000 ounces（of daily volume 9.7%）
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -0.124 | -0.044 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | -1.281 | -0.164 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -1.317 | -0.169 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 1.007 | +0.161 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | 0.883 | +0.170 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -0.920 | -0.118 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | 0.059 | +0.008 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | 0.558 | +0.071 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 1.660 | +0.106 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.373 | -0.024 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | 0.131 | +0.008 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 0.160 | +0.010 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-08-31 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-01 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.350 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-08-31: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.