RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-03 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +1.93
- Signal consistency
- 88%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 81,270.37
System assessment: “Bullish”, trend score +1.93 (confidence 88%), previous day: “Neutral, bearish tilt” (-0.04). BTC closed at $81,270.37, daily change +5.08%, intraday range 6.89%; 3-day +3.42%, 7-day +1.27%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in golden-cross status (spread +3.26%, 2026-08-19 golden cross, 15 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest +4.71%, average daily funding rate +0.0078% (preceding 7 days +0.0081%), taker buy/sell ratio 1.114, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.215 → 0.782, top-trader account long/short ratio 1.296 → 0.831. Fear & Greed Index 65 (Greed). Main bullish factors: daily change, taker buy/sell ratio; Main bearish factors: change in top-trader long/short ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-03. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $81,270.37, UTC 2026-09-03 00:00 open $77,340.01, daily change +5.08% (previous close $77,340.01)
- Intraday high $82,300.00 / low $76,968.00, range amplitude 6.89%; 30-day range $62,535.24 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day +3.42%, 7-day +1.27%, 30-day +26.77%; 30-day daily volatility 2.24%
- Daily EMA10 $77,928.59 / EMA20 $75,282.33, spread +3.26% (of closing price), golden-cross status (EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 15 days ago
- Spot volume 19,806 BTC(approximately 1.58 billion USDT), latest 7-day volume versus previous 7 days -40.16%
- Perpetual open interest 107,652 → 112,718 BTC (+4.71%, +5,065 BTC), notional value approximately $9157 million
- Daily average funding rate +0.0078% (08:00 +0.0059% / 16:00 +0.0089% / next day 00:00 +0.0086%), previous 7-day average +0.0081%, approximately annualized +8.5%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 1.114(buy 126,316 / sell 113,413 BTC), 16/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.215 → 0.782 (-35.66%); large-trader account long/short ratio 1.296 → 0.831 (-35.90%); large-trader position long/short ratio closed at 1.926
- Fear & Greed Index 63 → 65 (Greed, +2)
24H market review
- Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $77,340.01 → $77,809.91, +0.61%, range $76,968.00 – $77,900.00, volume 2,764 BTC (14% of daily total)
- Morning-to-midday (UTC 06:00–12:00): $77,809.91 → $77,948.39, +0.18%, range $77,478.00 – $78,183.91, volume 2,612 BTC (13.2% of daily total)
- Afternoon(UTC 12:00–18:00): $77,948.39 → $81,042.00, +3.97%, range $77,896.07 – $81,370.33, volume 9,718 BTC(of daily volume 49.1%), the day's elevated-volume session
- Closing session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $81,042.00 → $81,270.37, +0.28%, range $80,904.00 – $82,300.00, volume 4,713 BTC (23.8% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | 2.213 | +0.885 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | 0.867 | +0.139 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | 0.213 | +0.034 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 1.454 | +0.233 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | 1.568 | +0.251 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | -0.073 | -0.006 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.111 | +0.009 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | 2.276 | +0.364 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | 3.000 | +0.240 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | -3.000 | -0.240 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | 0.250 | +0.020 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-03 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-04 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.221 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-03: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.