RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-04 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.09
- Signal consistency
- 50%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 79,660.77
System assessment “neutral with a bullish bias”, trend score +0.09(confidence 50%), previous day: “bullish”(+1.93). BTC closed at $79,660.77, daily change -1.98%, intraday range amplitude 3.41%; 3-day +2.87%, 7-day +2.33%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bullish crossover state(spread +3.19%, 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 16 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest -4.26%, daily average funding rate +0.0040%(previous 7 days +0.0082%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.928, market-wide account long/short ratio 0.782 → 1.017, top trader account long/short ratio 0.831 → 1.138. Fear & Greed Index 74(Greed). Main bullish factors: change in top trader long/short ratio, change in open interest; Main bearish factors: daily change, change in retail long/short ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-04. The original uses “confidence,” interpreted on this site as signal consistency; it cannot directly mean probability of a rise or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its contemporaneous wording.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $79,660.77, UTC 2026-09-04 00:00 open $81,270.37, daily change -1.98% (previous close $81,270.37)
- Intraday high $81,427.75 / low $78,660.00, range amplitude 3.41%; 30-day range $62,535.24 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day +2.87%, 7-day +2.33%, 30-day +23.19%; 30-day daily volatility 2.37%
- Daily EMA10 $78,243.54 / EMA20 $75,699.32, spread +3.19% (of closing price), golden-cross status (EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 16 days ago
- Spot volume 19,199 BTC (approximately 1.538 billion USDT); latest 7-day volume versus preceding 7 days -30.02%
- Perpetual open interest 112,718 → 107,913 BTC(-4.26%, -4,805 BTC), notional value approximately USD 8.592 billion
- Daily average funding rate +0.0040%(08:00 +0.0065% / 16:00 +0.0045% / next day 00:00 +0.0010%), previous 7-day average +0.0082%, approximately annualized +4.4%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.928(buy 93,763 / sell 101,055 BTC), 10/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 0.782 → 1.017 (+30.05%); top-trader account long/short ratio 0.831 → 1.138 (+36.99%); top-trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.159
- Fear & Greed Index 65 → 74 (Greed, +9)
24H market review
- Early session(UTC 00:00–06:00): $81,270.37 → $80,996.15, -0.34%, range $80,669.45 – $81,427.75, volume 3,303 BTC(of daily volume 17.2%)
- Late morning session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $80,996.15 → $81,224.86, +0.28%, range $80,502.87 – $81,423.03, volume 3,860 BTC (20.1% of daily total)
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $81,224.86 → $79,472.22, -2.16%, range $78,660.00 – $81,350.00, volume 9,831 BTC (51.2% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Closing session(UTC 18:00–24:00): $79,472.22 → $79,660.77, +0.24%, range $79,472.22 – $79,862.15, volume 2,205 BTC(of daily volume 11.5%)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | -0.843 | -0.337 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | 0.688 | +0.110 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | 0.367 | +0.059 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 1.345 | +0.215 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | 1.421 | +0.227 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | -0.833 | -0.067 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.301 | +0.024 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -1.444 | -0.231 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | -3.000 | -0.240 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | 3.000 | +0.240 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | 1.125 | +0.090 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-04 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-05 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.224 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin 2026-09-04 UTC trading-day historical assessment: data and scores · AI text not generated. Retains that period's data, scoring version and sources for reviewing contemporaneous observations; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.