RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-08 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.14
- Signal consistency
- 45%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 78,455.80
System assessment: “Neutral with bearish bias”, trend score -0.14 (confidence 45%), previous day: “Neutral with bearish bias” (-0.40). BTC closed at $78,455.80, daily change -0.83%, intraday range amplitude 2.36%; 3-day -1.72%, 7-day +1.31%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a golden-cross state (gap +2.44%, 2026-08-19 golden cross, 20 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest -0.23%, daily average funding rate +0.0074% (previous 7 days +0.0047%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.952, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.161 → 1.295, large-trader account long/short ratio 1.269 → 1.395. Fear & Greed Index 69 (Greed). Main bullish factors: change in large-trader long/short ratio, daily EMA trend; Main bearish factors: change in retail long/short ratio, aggressive buy/sell ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-08. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $78,455.80, UTC 2026-09-08 00:00 open $79,112.00, daily change -0.83%（previous close $79,112.01）
- Intraday high $79,485.00 / low $77,620.01, range amplitude 2.36%; 30-day range $62,535.24 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day -1.72%, 7-day +1.31%, 30-day +20.88%; 30-day daily volatility 2.45%
- Daily EMA10 $78,824.87 / EMA20 $76,909.33, gap +2.44% (as % of close), golden-cross state (EMA10 above EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 20 days ago
- Spot volume 19,235 BTC（approximately 1.51 billion USDT）, latest 7-day volume versus previous 7 days +3.83%
- Perpetual open interest 106,876 → 106,627 BTC (-0.23%, -249 BTC), notional value approximately $8362 million
- Daily average funding rate +0.0074% (08:00 +0.0082% / 16:00 +0.0090% / next day 00:00 +0.0049%), previous 7-day average +0.0047%, approximately annualized +8.1%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.952（buy 63,331 / sell 66,526 BTC）, 9/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.161 → 1.295（+11.58%）; top trader account long/short ratio 1.269 → 1.395（+9.98%）; top trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.131
- Fear & Greed Index 71 → 69 (Greed, -2)
24H market review
- Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $79,112.00 → $78,578.00, -0.68%, range $78,555.00 – $79,485.00, volume 3,720 BTC (19.3% of daily total)
- Early afternoon（UTC 06:00–12:00）: $78,577.99 → $78,430.01, -0.19%, range $78,179.98 – $78,994.50, volume 7,963 BTC（of daily volume 41.4%）, the day's elevated-volume session
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $78,430.00 → $78,504.38, +0.10%, range $77,620.01 – $78,978.39, volume 5,385 BTC (28% of daily total)
- Closing session（UTC 18:00–24:00）: $78,504.38 → $78,455.80, -0.06%, range $78,271.49 – $78,822.47, volume 2,168 BTC（of daily volume 11.3%）
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | -0.340 | -0.136 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | -0.410 | -0.066 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | 0.201 | +0.032 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.996 | +0.159 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | 0.078 | +0.012 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | 0.526 | +0.042 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.132 | +0.011 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -0.960 | -0.154 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | -2.316 | -0.185 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | 1.996 | +0.160 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | -0.250 | -0.020 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-08 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-09 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.234 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-08: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.