RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-09 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.01
- Signal consistency
- 39%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 78,306.43
System assessment: “Neutral with bullish bias”, trend score +0.01 (confidence 39%), previous day: “Neutral with bearish bias” (-0.14). BTC closed at $78,306.43, daily change -0.19%, intraday range amplitude 2.54%; 3-day -2.53%, 7-day +1.25%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a golden-cross state (gap +2.16%, 2026-08-19 golden cross, 21 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest -1.43%, daily average funding rate +0.0058% (previous 7 days +0.0047%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.978, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.295 → 1.271, large-trader account long/short ratio 1.395 → 1.329. Fear & Greed Index 66 (Greed). Main bullish factors: daily EMA trend, change in open interest; Main bearish factors: 3-day momentum, change in large-trader long/short ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-09. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $78,306.43, UTC 2026-09-09 00:00 open $78,455.80, daily change -0.19% (previous close $78,455.80)
- Intraday high $79,760.00 / low $77,770.00, range 2.54%; 30-day range $62,535.24 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day -2.53%, 7-day +1.25%, 30-day +22.41%; 30-day daily volatility 2.46%
- Daily EMA10 $78,730.61 / EMA20 $77,042.39, spread +2.16%(of close), bullish crossover state(EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 21 days ago
- Spot volume 14,130 BTC (approximately 1.115 billion USDT); latest 7-day volume versus preceding 7 days +6.64%
- Perpetual open interest 106,627 → 105,106 BTC (-1.43%, -1,521 BTC), notional value approximately $8227 million
- Daily average funding rate +0.0058%(08:00 +0.0090% / 16:00 +0.0048% / next day 00:00 +0.0036%), previous 7-day average +0.0047%, approximately annualized +6.3%
- 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.978 (buy 75,477 / sell 77,148 BTC); 13/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.295 → 1.271(-1.89%); top trader account long/short ratio 1.395 → 1.329(-4.72%); top trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.191
- Fear & Greed Index 69 → 66 (Greed, -3)
24H market review
- Early session(UTC 00:00–06:00): $78,455.80 → $78,923.43, +0.60%, range $78,455.79 – $79,370.01, volume 2,841 BTC(of daily volume 20.1%)
- Morning-to-midday (UTC 06:00–12:00): $78,923.43 → $79,324.75, +0.51%, range $78,725.29 – $79,760.00, volume 3,266 BTC (23.1% of daily total)
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $79,324.75 → $78,776.01, -0.69%, range $78,060.03 – $79,678.84, volume 5,576 BTC (39.5% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Closing session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $78,776.00 → $78,306.43, -0.60%, range $77,770.00 – $78,792.25, volume 2,447 BTC (17.3% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | -0.077 | -0.031 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | -0.602 | -0.096 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | 0.191 | +0.031 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.876 | +0.140 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | 0.476 | +0.076 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | 0.211 | +0.017 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.210 | +0.017 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -0.434 | -0.069 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | 0.378 | +0.030 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | -0.943 | -0.075 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | -0.375 | -0.030 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-09 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-10 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.237 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-09: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.