RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-11 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.28
- Signal consistency
- 49%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 77,225.70
System assessment “neutral with a bearish bias”, trend score -0.28（confidence 49%）, previous day: “bearish bias”（-0.86）. BTC closed at $77,225.70, daily change +0.86%, intraday range amplitude 5.02%; 3-day -1.57%, 7-day -3.06%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bullish crossover state（spread +1.45%, 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 23 days ago）. Derivatives, perpetual open interest -3.25%, daily average funding rate +0.0053%（previous 7 days +0.0044%）, taker buy/sell ratio 0.985, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.601 → 1.547, top trader account long/short ratio 1.703 → 1.584. Fear & Greed Index 56（Greed）. Main bullish factors: daily change, daily EMA trend; Main bearish factors: change in open interest, change in Fear & Greed Index.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-11. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $77,225.70, UTC 2026-09-11 00:00 open $76,568.73, daily change +0.86%（previous close $76,568.72）
- Intraday high $79,890.00 / low $76,046.58, range amplitude 5.02%; 30-day range $62,535.24 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day -1.57%, 7-day -3.06%, 30-day +21.65%; 30-day daily volatility 2.48%
- Daily EMA10 $78,135.39 / EMA20 $77,019.03, gap +1.45% (as % of close), golden-cross state (EMA10 above EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-08-19 golden cross, 23 days ago
- Spot volume 19,713 BTC (approximately 1529 million USDT); volume over the past 7 days versus the previous 7 days -0.69%
- Perpetual open interest 106,859 → 103,385 BTC（-3.25%, -3,474 BTC）, notional value approximately USD 7.981 billion
- Daily average funding rate +0.0053%（08:00 +0.0061% / 16:00 +0.0036% / next day 00:00 +0.0061%）, previous 7-day average +0.0044%, approximately annualized +5.8%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.985 (buy 102,864 / sell 104,436 BTC); 11/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.601 → 1.547 (-3.35%); large-trader account long/short ratio 1.703 → 1.584 (-6.97%); large-trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.206
- Fear & Greed Index 69 → 56 (Greed, -13)
24H market review
- Early session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $76,568.73 → $77,252.86, +0.89%, range $76,563.01 – $77,252.88, volume 2,846 BTC (14.4% of daily total)
- Late morning session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $77,252.87 → $77,036.12, -0.28%, range $76,746.95 – $77,500.00, volume 2,514 BTC (12.8% of daily total)
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $77,036.12 → $77,534.00, +0.65%, range $76,046.58 – $79,890.00, volume 10,908 BTC (55.3% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Closing session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $77,534.00 → $77,225.70, -0.40%, range $76,883.00 – $77,538.01, volume 3,445 BTC (17.5% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | 0.344 | +0.138 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | -0.367 | -0.059 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | -0.472 | -0.076 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.582 | +0.093 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | -1.084 | -0.173 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | 0.172 | +0.014 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.237 | +0.019 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -0.302 | -0.048 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | 0.671 | +0.054 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | -1.394 | -0.112 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | -1.625 | -0.130 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-11 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-12 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.242 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-11: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.