RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Bitcoin
Bitcoin · 2026-09-12 Daily assessment archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.09
- Signal consistency
- 42%
- Archived close / USDT / BTC
- 77,278.73
System assessment: “Neutral, bearish tilt”, trend score -0.09 (confidence 42%), previous day: “Neutral, bearish tilt” (-0.28). BTC closed at $77,278.73, daily change +0.07%, intraday range 0.58%; 3-day -1.31%, 7-day -3.20%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in golden-cross status (spread +1.21%, 2026-08-19 golden cross, 24 days ago). Derivatives, perpetual open interest -0.08%, average daily funding rate +0.0048% (preceding 7 days +0.0046%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.947, market-wide account long/short ratio 1.547 → 1.654, top-trader account long/short ratio 1.584 → 1.726. Fear & Greed Index 63 (Greed). Main bullish factors: change in top-trader long/short ratio, daily EMA trend; Main bearish factors: taker buy/sell ratio, change in retail long/short ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-12. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $77,278.73, UTC 2026-09-12 00:00 open $77,225.71, daily change +0.07% (previous close $77,225.70)
- Intraday high $77,505.67 / low $77,059.75, range amplitude 0.58%; 30-day range $62,535.24 – $82,300.00
- Momentum: 3-day -1.31%, 7-day -3.20%, 30-day +21.72%; 30-day daily volatility 2.48%
- Daily EMA10 $77,979.63 / EMA20 $77,043.77, spread +1.21%（of close）, bullish crossover state（EMA10 above EMA20）; latest crossover: 2026-08-19 bullish crossover, 24 days ago
- Spot volume 8,060 BTC (approximately 0.623 billion USDT); latest 7-day volume versus preceding 7 days -3.84%
- Perpetual open interest 103,385 → 103,300 BTC（-0.08%, -86 BTC）, notional value approximately USD 7.98 billion
- Average daily funding rate +0.0048% (08:00 +0.0043% / 16:00 +0.0052% / next day 00:00 +0.0048%); preceding 7-day average +0.0046%, annualized approximately +5.2%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.947（buy 19,809 / sell 20,916 BTC）, 11/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 1.547 → 1.654（+6.90%）; top trader account long/short ratio 1.584 → 1.726（+8.93%）; top trader position long/short ratio closed at 2.232
- Fear & Greed Index 56 → 63 (Greed, +7)
24H market review
- Early session（UTC 00:00–06:00）: $77,225.71 → $77,218.00, -0.01%, range $77,164.06 – $77,378.37, volume 2,410 BTC（of daily volume 29.9%）, the day's elevated-volume session
- Early afternoon（UTC 06:00–12:00）: $77,218.00 → $77,356.04, +0.18%, range $77,199.99 – $77,400.75, volume 1,420 BTC（of daily volume 17.6%）
- Afternoon (UTC 12:00–18:00): $77,356.05 → $77,210.58, -0.19%, range $77,170.57 – $77,505.67, volume 2,277 BTC (28.3% of daily total)
- Closing session（UTC 18:00–24:00）: $77,210.58 → $77,278.73, +0.09%, range $77,059.75 – $77,300.00, volume 1,952 BTC（of daily volume 24.2%）
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 25% | 0.028 | +0.011 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 10% | -0.308 | -0.049 | Provided |
| 7-day momentum | 10% | -0.495 | -0.079 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.488 | +0.078 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 10% | -0.028 | -0.004 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 5% | 0.034 | +0.003 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 5% | 0.262 | +0.021 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 10% | -1.058 | -0.169 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 5% | -1.381 | -0.110 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 5% | 1.787 | +0.143 | Provided |
| Change in Fear & Greed Index | 5% | 0.875 | +0.070 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.2 and are not recalculated on the detail page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-12 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-13 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.244 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Bitcoin closing prices use Binance BTCUSDT spot, in USDT / BTC; derivatives indicators such as open interest and funding rates use their respective contract data.
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (1d)
https://data-api.binance.vision/api/v3/klines (6h)
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://api.alternative.me/fng/
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Bitcoin historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-12: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.