RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-02 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.31
- Signal consistency
- 51%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,390.40
System assessment: “Neutral, bearish tilt”, trend score -0.31 (confidence 51%), previous trading day: “Bearish” (-1.52). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,390.40, daily change +1.38%, intraday range 2.63%; 3-day -1.70%, 5-day -5.10%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in golden-cross status (spread +0.89%, 2026-08-05 golden cross, 20 trading days ago). Macro, US Dollar Index 99.56 (-0.11%), US 10-year Treasury yield 4.796% (0.0bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest -20.93%, average daily funding rate +0.0091% (preceding 7 days +0.0059%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.907. Main bullish factors: daily change, change in retail long/short ratio; Main bearish factors: open-interest change, taker buy/sell ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-02. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,390.40, UTC 2026-09-02 00:00 open $4,330.84, versus previous trading day (2026-09-01) close $4,330.83 +1.38%
- Intraday high $4,401.90 / low $4,288.00, range amplitude 2.63%; 30-day range $4,050.45 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day -1.70%, 5-day -5.10%, 30-day +8.13%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.76%
- Daily EMA10 $4,466.52 / EMA20 $4,427.47, spread +0.89% (of closing price), golden-cross status (EMA10 above EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-08-05 golden cross, 20 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 99.67 → 99.56 (-0.11%); 5-day +0.39%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.796% → 4.796%（0.0bp）, 5-day +13.2bp
- Perpetual volume 738,000 ounces (approximately 3.203 billion USDT); latest 5 trading days' volume versus preceding 5 days +22.57%
- Perpetual open interest 140000 → 111000 ounces (-20.93%), notional value approximately $486 million
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0091%, preceding 7-day average +0.0059%, annualized approximately +19.9%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.907 (buy 351,000 / sell 387,000ounces); 10/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 5.017 → 2.959 (-41.02%); top-trader account long/short ratio 5.601 → 3.205 (-42.77%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-08-25): COMEX gold managed-money net long 144,747 contracts, weekly change +3,099 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,330.84 → $4,325.06, -0.13%, range $4,288.00 – $4,342.70, volume 249,000 ounces (33.8% of daily total)
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,325.06 → $4,337.30, +0.28%, range $4,306.66 – $4,339.96, volume 181,000 ounces (24.6% of daily total)
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,337.29 → $4,382.43, +1.04%, range $4,332.50 – $4,401.90, volume 255000 ounces (34.6% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late US session（UTC 18:00–24:00）: $4,382.43 → $4,390.40, +0.18%, range $4,374.77 – $4,397.51, volume 52,000 ounces（of daily volume 7%）
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | 0.777 | +0.274 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | -0.562 | -0.072 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -1.330 | -0.170 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.506 | +0.081 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | 0.355 | +0.068 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | 0.000 | +0.000 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -2.093 | -0.268 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -1.858 | -0.238 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 0.802 | +0.051 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.410 | -0.026 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | 2.051 | +0.131 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | -2.139 | -0.137 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-02 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-03 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.355 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-02: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.