RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-03 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.51
- Signal consistency
- 61%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,483.87
System assessment: “Bullish bias”, trend score +0.51 (confidence 61%), previous trading day: “Neutral with bearish bias” (-0.31). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,483.87, daily change +2.13%, intraday range amplitude 2.91%; 3-day +0.60%, 5-day -2.46%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a golden-cross state (gap +0.82%, 2026-08-05 golden cross, 21 trading days ago). Macro, U.S. Dollar Index 99.00 (-0.56%), U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.762% (-3.4bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest -22.45%, daily average funding rate +0.0059% (previous 7 days +0.0068%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.974. Main bullish factors: daily change, change in U.S. Dollar Index; Main bearish factors: change in open interest, change in large-trader long/short ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-03. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,483.87, UTC 2026-09-03 00:00 open $4,390.33, versus previous trading day (2026-09-02) close $4,390.40 +2.13%
- Intraday high $4,514.81 / low $4,387.19, range 2.91%; 30-day range $4,076.02 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day +0.60%, 5-day -2.46%, 30-day +9.95%; daily volatility over 30 trading days 1.76%
- Daily EMA10 $4,469.68 / EMA20 $4,432.84, spread +0.82%（of close）, bullish crossover state（EMA10 above EMA20）; latest crossover: 2026-08-05 bullish crossover, 21 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 99.56 → 99.00（-0.56%）, 5-day -0.16%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.796% → 4.762% (-3.4bp); 5-day +9.0bp
- Perpetual volume 595,000 ounces (approximately 2.651 billion USDT); latest 5 trading days' volume versus preceding 5 days +35.47%
- Perpetual open interest 111,000 → 86,000 ounces（-22.45%）, notional value approximately USD 0.385 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0059%, previous 7-day average +0.0068%, approximately annualized +12.9%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.974 (buy 293,000 / sell 301,000ounces); 10/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 2.959 → 2.098 (-29.10%); large-trader account long/short ratio 3.205 → 2.111 (-34.13%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-08-25): COMEX gold managed-money net long 144,747 contracts, weekly change +3,099 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session（UTC 00:00–06:00）: $4,390.33 → $4,435.62, +1.03%, range $4,387.19 – $4,444.44, volume 154,000 ounces（of daily volume 25.9%）
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,435.61 → $4,448.53, +0.29%, range $4,423.06 – $4,449.95, volume 117,000 ounces (19.8% of daily total)
- Americas session（UTC 12:00–18:00）: $4,448.52 → $4,491.19, +0.96%, range $4,442.95 – $4,514.81, volume 280,000 ounces（of daily volume 47.1%）, the day's elevated-volume session
- Late US session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,491.19 → $4,483.87, -0.16%, range $4,474.50 – $4,493.67, volume 43,000 ounces (7.2% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | 1.196 | +0.421 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | 0.197 | +0.025 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -0.633 | -0.081 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.466 | +0.075 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | 1.855 | +0.356 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | 0.829 | +0.106 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -2.245 | -0.287 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -0.514 | -0.066 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | -0.217 | -0.014 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.088 | -0.006 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | 1.455 | +0.093 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | -1.706 | -0.109 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-03 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-04 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.358 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-03: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.