RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-04 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.23
- Signal consistency
- 49%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,435.12
System assessment: “Neutral, bearish tilt”, trend score -0.23 (confidence 49%), previous trading day: “Bullish bias” (+0.51). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,435.12, daily change -1.09%, intraday range 2.76%; 3-day +2.41%, 5-day -0.70%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in golden-cross status (spread +0.68%, 2026-08-05 golden cross, 22 trading days ago). Macro, US Dollar Index 99.16 (+0.16%), US 10-year Treasury yield 4.784% (+2.2bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest -9.56%, average daily funding rate +0.0069% (preceding 7 days +0.0072%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.956. Main bullish factors: open-interest change, 3-day momentum; Main bearish factors: daily change, taker buy/sell ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-04. The original uses “confidence,” interpreted on this site as signal consistency; it cannot directly mean probability of a rise or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its contemporaneous wording.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,435.12, UTC 2026-09-04 00:00 open $4,483.86, versus previous trading day (2026-09-03) close $4,483.87 -1.09%
- Intraday high $4,493.93 / low $4,370.00, range amplitude 2.76%; 30-day range $4,229.18 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day +2.41%, 5-day -0.70%, 30-day +3.56%; daily volatility over 30 trading days 1.74%
- Daily EMA10 $4,463.39 / EMA20 $4,433.06, gap +0.68% (as % of close), golden-cross state (EMA10 above EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-08-05 golden cross, 22 trading days ago
- U.S. Dollar Index 99.00 → 99.16 (+0.16%), 5-day -0.54%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.762% → 4.784%（+2.2bp）, 5-day +6.4bp
- Perpetual volume 544,000 ounces (approximately 2.411 billion USDT); latest 5 trading days' volume versus preceding 5 days +16.56%
- Perpetual open interest 86,000 → 78,000 ounces (-9.56%); notional value approximately USD 0.345 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0069%, preceding 7-day average +0.0072%, annualized approximately +15.0%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.956 (buy 266,000 / sell 278,000ounces); 9/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 2.098 → 2.101 (+0.14%); top-trader account long/short ratio 2.111 → 2.257 (+6.91%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-01): COMEX gold managed-money net longs 136,771 contracts, weekly change -7,976 contracts (weekly data, excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session（UTC 00:00–06:00）: $4,483.86 → $4,475.53, -0.19%, range $4,468.80 – $4,490.29, volume 69,000 ounces（of daily volume 12.7%）
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,475.53 → $4,470.71, -0.11%, range $4,463.60 – $4,493.93, volume 73,000 ounces (13.4% of daily total)
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,470.72 → $4,420.38, -1.13%, range $4,370.00 – $4,482.23, volume 374,000 ounces (68.7% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late U.S. session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,420.31 → $4,435.12, +0.34%, range $4,415.24 – $4,441.13, volume 28000 ounces (5.1% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -0.628 | -0.221 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | 0.789 | +0.101 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -0.180 | -0.023 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.393 | +0.063 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -0.508 | -0.098 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -0.533 | -0.068 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | 0.956 | +0.122 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -0.878 | -0.112 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | -0.080 | -0.005 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.185 | -0.012 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | -0.007 | +0.000 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 0.346 | +0.022 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-04 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-05 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.360 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold 2026-09-04 UTC trading-day historical assessment: data and scores · AI text not generated. Retains that period's data, scoring version and sources for reviewing contemporaneous observations; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.