RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-09 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.13
- Signal consistency
- 45%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,397.70
System assessment “neutral with a bearish bias”, trend score -0.13（confidence 45%）, previous trading day: “neutral with a bearish bias”（-0.47）. Gold（XAUUSDT perpetual）closed at $4,397.70, daily change +1.01%, intraday range amplitude 2.11%; 3-day -0.84%, 5-day +0.17%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bullish crossover state（spread +0.19%, 2026-08-05 bullish crossover, 25 trading days ago）. Macroeconomics, US Dollar Index 98.77（-0.07%）, US 10-year Treasury yield 4.837%（+3.1bp）. Contracts, perpetual open interest -8.93%, daily average funding rate +0.0044%（previous 7 days +0.0046%）, taker buy/sell ratio 0.948. Main bullish factors: daily change, change in retail long/short ratio; Main bearish factors: taker buy/sell ratio, change in open interest.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-09. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,397.70, UTC 2026-09-09 00:00 open $4,353.77, versus previous trading day (2026-09-08) close $4,353.77 +1.01%
- Intraday high $4,437.54 / low $4,345.66, range 2.11%; 30-day range $4,288.00 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day -0.84%, 5-day +0.17%, 30-day -0.21%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.78%
- Daily EMA10 $4,430.73 / EMA20 $4,422.40, gap +0.19% (as % of close), golden-cross state (EMA10 above EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-08-05 golden cross, 25 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 98.84 → 98.77 (-0.07%); 5-day -0.90%
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.806% → 4.837% (+3.1bp), 5-day +4.1bp
- Perpetual volume 410,000 ounces (approximately 1.803 billion USDT); latest 5 trading days' volume versus preceding 5 days -23.15%
- Perpetual open interest 88000 → 80000 ounces (-8.93%), notional value approximately $353 million
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0044%, preceding 7-day average +0.0046%, annualized approximately +9.5%
- 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.948 (buy 199000 / sell 210000ounces); 9/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 3.021 → 2.522 (-16.50%); top-trader account long/short ratio 3.268 → 2.592 (-20.69%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-01): COMEX gold managed-money net longs 136,771 contracts, weekly change -7,976 contracts (weekly data, excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,353.77 → $4,402.47, +1.12%, range $4,345.66 – $4,404.16, volume 80,000 ounces (19.6% of daily total)
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,402.47 → $4,410.90, +0.19%, range $4,390.14 – $4,419.34, volume 79,000 ounces (19.3% of daily total)
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,410.90 → $4,420.67, +0.22%, range $4,379.46 – $4,437.54, volume 206,000 ounces (50.2% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late US session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,420.68 → $4,397.70, -0.52%, range $4,397.04 – $4,425.74, volume 45,000 ounces (10.9% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | 0.564 | +0.199 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | -0.275 | -0.035 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | 0.042 | +0.005 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | 0.106 | +0.017 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | 0.219 | +0.042 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -0.777 | -0.099 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -0.893 | -0.114 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -1.050 | -0.134 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | -0.064 | -0.004 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | 0.065 | +0.004 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | 0.825 | +0.053 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | -1.034 | -0.066 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-09 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-10 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.368 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold 2026-09-09 UTC trading-day historical assessment: data and scores · AI text not generated. Retains that period's data, scoring version and sources for reviewing contemporaneous observations; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.