RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-11 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.13
- Signal consistency
- 43%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,357.18
System assessment: “Neutral, bearish tilt”, trend score -0.13 (confidence 43%), previous trading day: “Bearish bias” (-1.33). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,357.18, daily change +0.88%, intraday range 2.59%; 3-day +0.08%, 5-day -1.76%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in death-cross status (spread -0.15%, 2026-09-10 death cross, 1 trading day ago). Macro, US Dollar Index 99.12 (+0.03%), US 10-year Treasury yield 4.975% (+3.1bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest -6.34%, average daily funding rate +0.0078% (preceding 7 days +0.0038%), taker buy/sell ratio 0.972. Main bullish factors: daily change, funding-rate change; Main bearish factors: US Treasury yield change, open-interest change.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-11. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,357.18, UTC 2026-09-11 00:00 open $4,319.25, versus previous trading day(2026-09-10)Close $4,319.26 +0.88%
- Intraday high $4,406.88 / low $4,295.00, range amplitude 2.59%; 30-day range $4,288.00 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day +0.08%, 5-day -1.76%, 30-day -1.39%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.81%
- Daily EMA10 $4,400.78 / EMA20 $4,407.31, spread -0.15% (of closing price), death-cross status (EMA10 below EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-09-10 death cross, 1 trading day ago
- US Dollar Index 99.09 → 99.12 (+0.03%); 5-day +0.12%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.944% → 4.975%(+3.1bp), 5-day +21.3bp
- Perpetual volume 559,000 ounces(approximately 2.433 billion USDT), latest 5 trading days' volume versus previous 5 days -27.92%
- Perpetual open interest 93000 → 87000 ounces (-6.34%), notional value approximately $380 million
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0078%, previous 7-day average +0.0038%, approximately annualized +17.1%
- 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.972 (buy 275000 / sell 283000ounces); 8/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 3.352 → 3.105 (-7.35%); large-trader account long/short ratio 3.634 → 3.184 (-12.38%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-08): COMEX gold managed-money net long 134,972 contracts, weekly change -1,799 contracts (weekly data, excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,319.25 → $4,350.36, +0.72%, range $4,306.02 – $4,355.81, volume 122000 ounces (21.8% of daily total)
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,350.35 → $4,338.21, -0.28%, range $4,335.38 – $4,365.30, volume 90000 ounces (16.2% of daily total)
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,338.22 → $4,363.15, +0.57%, range $4,295.00 – $4,406.88, volume 314,000 ounces (56.1% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late US session(UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,363.16 → $4,357.18, -0.14%, range $4,347.95 – $4,364.37, volume 33,000 ounces(of daily volume 5.8%)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | 0.484 | +0.170 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | 0.025 | +0.003 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -0.439 | -0.056 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.083 | -0.013 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -0.106 | -0.020 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -0.708 | -0.091 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -0.634 | -0.081 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -0.560 | -0.072 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 0.992 | +0.063 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.280 | -0.018 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | 0.368 | +0.024 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | -0.619 | -0.040 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-11 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-12 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.373 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-11: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.