RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-14 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.90
- Signal consistency
- 74%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,292.79
System assessment: “Bearish bias”, trend score -0.90 (confidence 74%), previous trading day: “Neutral with bearish bias” (-0.13). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,292.79, daily change -1.48%, intraday range amplitude 2.30%; 3-day -2.39%, 5-day -3.04%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a death-cross state (gap -0.36%, 2026-09-10 death cross, 2 trading days ago). Macro, U.S. Dollar Index 99.46 (+0.34%), U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.961% (-1.4bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest +17.02%, daily average funding rate +0.0119% (previous 7 days +0.0040%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.970. Main bullish factors: change in funding rate, change in large-trader long/short ratio; Main bearish factors: daily change, change in U.S. Dollar Index.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-14. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,292.79, UTC 2026-09-14 00:00 open $4,337.38, versus previous trading day (2026-09-11) close $4,357.18 -1.48%
- Intraday high $4,359.96 / low $4,259.58, range amplitude 2.30%; 30-day range $4,259.58 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day -2.39%, 5-day -3.04%, 30-day -2.18%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.79%
- Daily EMA10 $4,381.14 / EMA20 $4,396.40, gap -0.36% (as % of close), death-cross state (EMA10 below EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-09-10 death cross, 2 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 99.12 → 99.46（+0.34%）, 5-day +0.30%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.975% → 4.961% (-1.4bp); 5-day +17.7bp
- Perpetual volume 498,000 ounces (approximately 2.146 billion USDT); latest 5 trading days' volume versus preceding 5 days -17.09%
- Perpetual open interest 88,000 → 102,000 ounces（+17.02%）, notional value approximately USD 0.44 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0119%, previous 7-day average +0.0040%, approximately annualized +26.1%
- 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.970 (buy 245000 / sell 253000ounces); 11/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 3.290 → 3.970（+20.67%）; top trader account long/short ratio 3.490 → 4.510（+29.20%）
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-08): COMEX gold managed-money net long 134,972 contracts, weekly change -1,799 contracts (weekly data, excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session（UTC 00:00–06:00）: $4,337.38 → $4,342.13, +0.11%, range $4,326.85 – $4,359.96, volume 97,000 ounces（of daily volume 19.5%）
- European session（UTC 06:00–12:00）: $4,342.13 → $4,292.04, -1.15%, range $4,284.27 – $4,343.74, volume 138,000 ounces（of daily volume 27.7%）
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,292.19 → $4,316.17, +0.56%, range $4,259.58 – $4,322.87, volume 198000 ounces (39.7% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late U.S. session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,316.17 → $4,292.79, -0.54%, range $4,287.62 – $4,320.42, volume 65000 ounces (13.1% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -0.833 | -0.293 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | -0.780 | -0.100 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -0.772 | -0.099 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.199 | -0.032 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -1.210 | -0.232 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | 0.335 | +0.043 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -1.701 | -0.218 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -0.602 | -0.077 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 1.995 | +0.128 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.693 | -0.044 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | -1.034 | -0.066 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 1.460 | +0.093 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-14 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-15 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.375 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold 2026-09-14 UTC trading-day historical assessment: data and scores · AI text not generated. Retains that period's data, scoring version and sources for reviewing contemporaneous observations; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.