RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-18 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.11
- Signal consistency
- 43%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,383.64
System assessment: “Neutral with bearish bias”, trend score -0.11 (confidence 43%), previous trading day: “Neutral with bullish bias” (+0.37). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,383.64, daily change +0.72%, intraday range amplitude 1.49%; 3-day +2.21%, 5-day +0.61%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a death-cross state (gap -0.43%, 2026-09-10 death cross, 6 trading days ago). Macro, U.S. Dollar Index 100.22 (0.00%), U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.998% (+5.1bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest -7.06%, daily average funding rate +0.0080% (previous 7 days +0.0049%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.954. Main bullish factors: daily change, 3-day momentum; Main bearish factors: change in Treasury yields, aggressive buy/sell ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-18. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,383.64, UTC 2026-09-18 00:00 open $4,352.36, versus previous trading day（2026-09-17）Close $4,352.37 +0.72%
- Intraday high $4,405.75 / low $4,341.00, range 1.49%; 30-day range $4,243.81 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day +2.21%, 5-day +0.61%, 30-day -2.89%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.61%
- Daily EMA10 $4,355.55 / EMA20 $4,374.56, spread -0.43%（of close）, bearish crossover state（EMA10 below EMA20）; latest crossover: 2026-09-10 bearish crossover, 6 trading days ago
- U.S. Dollar Index 100.22 → 100.22 (0.00%), 5-day +1.11%
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.947% → 4.998% (+5.1bp), 5-day +2.3bp
- Perpetual volume 498,000 ounces（approximately 2.18 billion USDT）, latest 5 trading days' volume versus previous 5 days +30.77%
- Perpetual open interest 108000 → 100000 ounces (-7.06%), notional value approximately $439 million
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0080%, preceding 7-day average +0.0049%, annualized approximately +17.6%
- 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.954 (buy 243000 / sell 255000ounces); 11/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 2.494 → 2.589 (+3.82%); top-trader account long/short ratio 2.556 → 2.631 (+2.93%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-15): COMEX gold managed-money net long 133,116 contracts, weekly change -1,856 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,352.36 → $4,383.45, +0.71%, range $4,341.00 – $4,384.12, volume 98000 ounces (19.7% of daily total)
- European session（UTC 06:00–12:00）: $4,383.44 → $4,388.28, +0.11%, range $4,379.54 – $4,405.75, volume 136,000 ounces（of daily volume 27.2%）
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,388.29 → $4,398.26, +0.23%, range $4,350.16 – $4,401.59, volume 218,000 ounces (43.8% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late US session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,398.26 → $4,383.64, -0.33%, range $4,379.50 – $4,398.87, volume 46,000 ounces (9.3% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | 0.445 | +0.157 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | 0.784 | +0.100 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | 0.168 | +0.022 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.270 | -0.043 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | 0.000 | +0.000 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -1.298 | -0.166 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -0.706 | -0.090 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -0.914 | -0.117 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 0.779 | +0.050 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.303 | -0.019 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | -0.191 | -0.012 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 0.147 | +0.009 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-18 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-19 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.384 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-18: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.