RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-21 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- +0.25
- Signal consistency
- 49%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,372.76
System assessment: “Neutral, bullish tilt”, trend score +0.25 (confidence 49%), previous trading day: “Neutral, bearish tilt” (-0.11). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,372.76, daily change -0.25%, intraday range 1.40%; 3-day +2.22%, 5-day +1.86%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in death-cross status (spread -0.36%, 2026-09-10 death cross, 7 trading days ago). Macro, US Dollar Index 100.43 (+0.21%), US 10-year Treasury yield 4.963% (-3.5bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest -6.92%, average daily funding rate +0.0071% (preceding 7 days +0.0051%), taker buy/sell ratio 1.021. Main bullish factors: US Treasury yield change, 3-day momentum; Main bearish factors: US Dollar Index change, change in retail long/short ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-21. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,372.76, UTC 2026-09-21 00:00 open $4,376.99, versus previous trading day (2026-09-18) close $4,383.64 -0.25%
- Intraday high $4,388.25 / low $4,327.11, range amplitude 1.40%; 30-day range $4,243.81 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day +2.22%, 5-day +1.86%, 30-day -5.26%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.56%
- Daily EMA10 $4,358.68 / EMA20 $4,374.39, gap -0.36% (as % of close), death-cross state (EMA10 below EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-09-10 death cross, 7 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 100.22 → 100.43 (+0.21%); 5-day +0.97%
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.998% → 4.963% (-3.5bp), 5-day +0.2bp
- Perpetual volume 491,000 ounces（approximately 2.14 billion USDT）, latest 5 trading days' volume versus previous 5 days +18.35%
- Perpetual open interest 101000 → 94000 ounces (-6.92%), notional value approximately $410 million
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0071%, previous 7-day average +0.0051%, approximately annualized +15.6%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 1.021（buy 248,000 / sell 243,000 ounces）, 15/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 2.872 → 3.456（+20.37%）; top trader account long/short ratio 2.990 → 3.933（+31.53%）
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-15): COMEX gold managed-money net long 133,116 contracts, weekly change -1,856 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,376.99 → $4,355.25, -0.50%, range $4,353.28 – $4,388.25, volume 117,000 ounces (23.9% of daily total)
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,355.25 → $4,372.90, +0.41%, range $4,345.00 – $4,374.77, volume 119,000 ounces (24.3% of daily total)
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,372.89 → $4,347.66, -0.58%, range $4,327.11 – $4,378.68, volume 196,000 ounces (40% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late US session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,347.67 → $4,372.76, +0.58%, range $4,330.89 – $4,374.87, volume 58,000 ounces (11.9% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -0.159 | -0.056 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | 0.812 | +0.104 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | 0.528 | +0.068 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.230 | -0.037 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -0.693 | -0.133 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | 0.879 | +0.113 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | 0.692 | +0.089 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | 0.418 | +0.054 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 0.504 | +0.032 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.212 | -0.014 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | -1.018 | -0.065 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 1.577 | +0.101 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-21 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-22 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.386 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-21: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.