RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-15 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.43
- Signal consistency
- 50%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,288.95
System assessment “neutral with a bearish bias”, trend score -0.43（confidence 50%）, previous trading day: “bearish bias”（-0.90）. Gold（XAUUSDT perpetual）closed at $4,288.95, daily change -0.09%, intraday range amplitude 1.27%; 3-day -0.70%, 5-day -1.49%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bearish crossover state（spread -0.51%, 2026-09-10 bearish crossover, 3 trading days ago）. Macroeconomics, US Dollar Index 99.65（+0.19%）, US 10-year Treasury yield 4.996%（+3.5bp）. Contracts, perpetual open interest +1.78%, daily average funding rate +0.0054%（previous 7 days +0.0052%）, taker buy/sell ratio 0.988. Main bearish factors: change in US Dollar Index, change in US Treasury yield.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-15. The original uses “confidence”; this site interprets it as signal agreement, which cannot directly be treated as a probability of rising prices or predictive accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,288.95, UTC 2026-09-15 00:00 open $4,292.79, versus previous trading day (2026-09-14) close $4,292.79 -0.09%
- Intraday high $4,321.22 / low $4,266.68, range amplitude 1.27%; 30-day range $4,259.58 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day -0.70%, 5-day -1.49%, 30-day -2.27%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.81%
- Daily EMA10 $4,364.38 / EMA20 $4,386.17, spread -0.51%（of close）, bearish crossover state（EMA10 below EMA20）; latest crossover: 2026-09-10 bearish crossover, 3 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 99.46 → 99.65 (+0.19%); 5-day +0.82%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.961% → 4.996% (+3.5bp); 5-day +19.0bp
- Perpetual futures volume 348000 ounces (approximately 1495 million USDT); volume over the past 5 trading days versus the previous 5 days -9.52%
- Perpetual open interest 102,000 → 104,000 ounces (+1.78%); notional value approximately USD 0.447 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0054%, preceding 7-day average +0.0052%, annualized approximately +11.8%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.988 (buy 173,000 / sell 175,000ounces); 13/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 3.970 → 3.541（-10.80%）; top trader account long/short ratio 4.510 → 4.035（-10.52%）
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-08): COMEX gold managed-money net long 134,972 contracts, weekly change -1,799 contracts (weekly data, excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session（UTC 00:00–06:00）: $4,292.79 → $4,295.75, +0.07%, range $4,288.21 – $4,321.22, volume 72,000 ounces（of daily volume 20.6%）
- European session（UTC 06:00–12:00）: $4,295.74 → $4,289.41, -0.15%, range $4,266.68 – $4,299.78, volume 100,000 ounces（of daily volume 28.8%）
- Americas session（UTC 12:00–18:00）: $4,289.40 → $4,300.02, +0.25%, range $4,276.18 – $4,305.25, volume 122,000 ounces（of daily volume 35%）, the day's elevated-volume session
- Late US session（UTC 18:00–24:00）: $4,300.04 → $4,288.95, -0.26%, range $4,286.98 – $4,316.20, volume 55,000 ounces（of daily volume 15.7%）
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -0.049 | -0.017 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | -0.224 | -0.029 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -0.370 | -0.047 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.280 | -0.045 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -0.660 | -0.127 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -0.875 | -0.112 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -0.178 | -0.023 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -0.244 | -0.031 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 0.054 | +0.003 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.038 | -0.002 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | 0.540 | +0.035 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | -0.526 | -0.034 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-15 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-16 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.377 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-15: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.