RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-16 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.88
- Signal consistency
- 63%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,277.72
System assessment: “Bearish bias”, trend score -0.88 (confidence 63%), previous trading day: “Neutral, bearish tilt” (-0.43). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,277.72, daily change -0.26%, intraday range 3.17%; 3-day -1.82%, 5-day -2.73%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 in death-cross status (spread -0.64%, 2026-09-10 death cross, 4 trading days ago). Macro, US Dollar Index 100.31 (+0.66%), US 10-year Treasury yield 5.006% (+1.0bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest +12.20%, average daily funding rate +0.0055% (preceding 7 days +0.0050%), taker buy/sell ratio 1.005. Main bearish factors: US Dollar Index change, open-interest change.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-16. The original uses “confidence,” interpreted on this site as signal consistency; it cannot directly mean probability of a rise or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its contemporaneous wording.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,277.72, UTC 2026-09-16 00:00 open $4,288.95, versus previous trading day (2026-09-15) close $4,288.95 -0.26%
- Intraday high $4,380.00 / low $4,243.81, range amplitude 3.17%; 30-day range $4,243.81 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day -1.82%, 5-day -2.73%, 30-day -3.44%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.81%
- Daily EMA10 $4,348.62 / EMA20 $4,375.84, gap -0.64% (as % of close), death-cross state (EMA10 below EMA20); most recent crossover: 2026-09-10 death cross, 4 trading days ago
- U.S. Dollar Index 99.65 → 100.31 (+0.66%), 5-day +1.56%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.996% → 5.006%（+1.0bp）, 5-day +16.9bp
- Perpetual volume 809,000 ounces（approximately 3.49 billion USDT）, latest 5 trading days' volume versus previous 5 days +22.09%
- Perpetual open interest 104,000 → 117,000 ounces（+12.20%）, notional value approximately USD 0.5 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0055%, previous 7-day average +0.0050%, approximately annualized +12.0%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 1.005 (buy 405,000 / sell 404,000ounces); 15/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 3.541 → 3.785（+6.87%）; top trader account long/short ratio 4.035 → 4.241（+5.10%）
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-08): COMEX gold managed-money net long 134,972 contracts, weekly change -1,799 contracts (weekly data, excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,288.95 → $4,332.31, +1.01%, range $4,281.35 – $4,346.46, volume 99000 ounces (12.2% of daily total)
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,332.31 → $4,347.38, +0.35%, range $4,327.93 – $4,358.82, volume 116000 ounces (14.3% of daily total)
- Americas session（UTC 12:00–18:00）: $4,347.37 → $4,367.07, +0.45%, range $4,330.53 – $4,380.00, volume 142,000 ounces（of daily volume 17.5%）
- Late U.S. session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,367.05 → $4,277.72, -2.05%, range $4,243.81 – $4,376.72, volume 453000 ounces (56% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -0.144 | -0.051 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | -0.585 | -0.075 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | -0.682 | -0.087 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.351 | -0.056 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -2.261 | -0.434 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -0.263 | -0.034 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -1.220 | -0.156 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | 0.094 | +0.012 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 0.130 | +0.008 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.047 | -0.003 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | -0.344 | -0.022 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 0.255 | +0.016 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-16 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-17 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.379 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-16: Data and scores · AI commentary not generated, retaining the period's data, scoring version and sources. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.