RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-22 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -0.21
- Signal consistency
- 43%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,367.28
System assessment: “Neutral with bearish bias”, trend score -0.21 (confidence 43%), previous trading day: “Neutral with bullish bias” (+0.25). Gold (XAUUSDT perpetual) closed at $4,367.28, daily change -0.13%, intraday range amplitude 1.92%; 3-day +0.34%, 5-day +1.83%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a death-cross state (gap -0.31%, 2026-09-10 death cross, 8 trading days ago). Macro, U.S. Dollar Index 100.60 (+0.17%), U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.968% (+0.5bp). Contracts, perpetual open interest +3.29%, daily average funding rate +0.0059% (previous 7 days +0.0044%), aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.960. Main bullish factors: 5-day (weekly) momentum; Main bearish factors: change in U.S. Dollar Index, aggressive buy/sell ratio.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-22. The original uses “confidence,” interpreted on this site as signal consistency; it cannot directly mean probability of a rise or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its contemporaneous wording.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,367.28, UTC 2026-09-22 00:00 open $4,372.76, versus previous trading day (2026-09-21) close $4,372.76 -0.13%
- Intraday high $4,379.53 / low $4,295.56, range amplitude 1.92%; 30-day range $4,243.81 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day +0.34%, 5-day +1.83%, 30-day -5.38%; 30-trading-day daily volatility 1.55%
- Daily EMA10 $4,360.24 / EMA20 $4,373.71, spread -0.31% (of closing price), death-cross status (EMA10 below EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-09-10 death cross, 8 trading days ago
- U.S. Dollar Index 100.43 → 100.60 (+0.17%), 5-day +0.95%
- US 10-year Treasury yield 4.963% → 4.968%（+0.5bp）, 5-day -2.8bp
- Perpetual futures volume 541000 ounces (approximately 2346 million USDT); volume over the past 5 trading days versus the previous 5 days +27.91%
- Perpetual open interest 94,000 → 97,000 ounces (+3.29%); notional value approximately USD 0.423 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0059%, preceding 7-day average +0.0044%, annualized approximately +12.9%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 0.960（buy 265,000 / sell 276,000 ounces）, 10/24 hoursbuyers dominant
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 3.456 → 3.554 (+2.82%); top-trader account long/short ratio 3.933 → 4.214 (+7.13%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-15): COMEX gold managed-money net long 133,116 contracts, weekly change -1,856 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,372.76 → $4,327.76, -1.03%, range $4,320.44 – $4,379.53, volume 114000 ounces (21% of daily total)
- European session（UTC 06:00–12:00）: $4,327.76 → $4,327.02, -0.02%, range $4,295.56 – $4,341.92, volume 191,000 ounces（of daily volume 35.2%）, the day's elevated-volume session
- Americas session（UTC 12:00–18:00）: $4,327.01 → $4,354.67, +0.64%, range $4,319.44 – $4,356.60, volume 165,000 ounces（of daily volume 30.5%）
- Late U.S. session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,354.67 → $4,367.28, +0.29%, range $4,351.52 – $4,373.53, volume 72000 ounces (13.3% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -0.081 | -0.029 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | 0.128 | +0.016 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | 0.524 | +0.067 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.199 | -0.032 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -0.560 | -0.108 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -0.124 | -0.016 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -0.329 | -0.042 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | -0.794 | -0.102 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 0.369 | +0.024 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.089 | -0.006 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | -0.141 | -0.009 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 0.356 | +0.023 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-22 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-23 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.388 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold 2026-09-22 UTC trading-day historical assessment: data and scores · AI text not generated. Retains that period's data, scoring version and sources for reviewing contemporaneous observations; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.