RESEARCH ARCHIVE / Gold
Gold · 2026-09-23 Daily Assessment Archive
ARCHIVED MARKET STATE / Market conditions for the period
- Trend score / −3 to +3
- -1.33
- Signal consistency
- 81%
- Archived close / USDT / One ounce of contract underlying
- 4,292.30
System assessment “bearish bias”, trend score -1.33（confidence 81%）, previous trading day: “neutral with a bearish bias”（-0.21）. Gold（XAUUSDT perpetual）closed at $4,292.30, daily change -1.72%, intraday range amplitude 2.13%; 3-day -2.08%, 5-day +0.34%. Daily EMA10/EMA20 is in a bearish crossover state（spread -0.42%, 2026-09-10 bearish crossover, 9 trading days ago）. Macroeconomics, US Dollar Index 101.10（+0.50%）, US 10-year Treasury yield 5.114%（+14.6bp）. Contracts, perpetual open interest +19.04%, daily average funding rate +0.0088%（previous 7 days +0.0045%）, taker buy/sell ratio 1.036. Main bullish factors: change in top trader long/short ratio, taker buy/sell ratio; Main bearish factors: daily change, change in US Treasury yield.
The above is the archive for 2026-09-23. The original uses “confidence”; this site reads it as signal consistency, which cannot directly be interpreted as probability of price increases or forecast accuracy. The original summary retains its wording at the time.
01 / Data and market review
Key data
- Close $4,292.30, UTC 2026-09-23 00:00 open $4,367.27, versus previous trading day（2026-09-22）Close $4,367.28 -1.72%
- Intraday high $4,372.54 / low $4,279.32, range 2.13%; 30-day range $4,243.81 – $4,700.63
- Momentum: 3-day -2.08%, 5-day +0.34%, 30-day -8.34%; daily volatility over 30 trading days 1.54%
- Daily EMA10 $4,347.89 / EMA20 $4,365.96, spread -0.42%（of close）, bearish crossover state（EMA10 below EMA20）; latest crossover: 2026-09-10 bearish crossover, 9 trading days ago
- US Dollar Index 100.60 → 101.10 (+0.50%); 5-day +0.79%
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield 4.968% → 5.114% (+14.6bp), 5-day +10.8bp
- Perpetual futures volume 432000 ounces (approximately 1862 million USDT); volume over the past 5 trading days versus the previous 5 days -5.10%
- Perpetual open interest 97,000 → 115,000 ounces（+19.04%）, notional value approximately USD 0.495 billion
- Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0088%, previous 7-day average +0.0045%, approximately annualized +19.3%
- 24h aggregate taker buy/sell ratio 1.036 (buy 220,000 / sell 212,000ounces); 15/24 hours buyer-dominated
- Market-wide account long/short ratio 3.554 → 4.757 (+33.86%); large-trader account long/short ratio 4.214 → 5.711 (+35.54%)
- CFTC positioning report (2026-09-15): COMEX gold managed-money net long 133,116 contracts, weekly change -1,856 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)
24H market review
- Asian session（UTC 00:00–06:00）: $4,367.27 → $4,338.37, -0.66%, range $4,332.24 – $4,372.54, volume 76,000 ounces（of daily volume 17.6%）
- European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,338.37 → $4,313.52, -0.57%, range $4,298.97 – $4,340.28, volume 98,000 ounces (22.6% of daily total)
- Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,313.51 → $4,297.14, -0.38%, range $4,279.32 – $4,322.44, volume 198,000 ounces (45.9% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
- Late US session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,297.14 → $4,292.30, -0.11%, range $4,283.02 – $4,298.96, volume 60,000 ounces (13.9% of daily total)
02 / Scoring basis
| Factor | Weight | Standardized value z | Score contribution | Availability status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily change | 22% | -1.124 | -0.396 | Provided |
| 3-day momentum | 8% | -0.789 | -0.101 | Provided |
| 5-day (weekly) momentum | 8% | 0.099 | +0.013 | Provided |
| Daily EMA trend | 10% | -0.273 | -0.044 | Provided |
| Change in US Dollar Index | 12% | -1.631 | -0.313 | Provided |
| Change in U.S. Treasury yields | 8% | -3.000 | -0.384 | Provided |
| Change in open interest | 8% | -1.904 | -0.244 | Provided |
| Aggressive buy/sell ratio | 8% | 0.712 | +0.091 | Provided |
| Funding-rate change | 4% | 1.078 | +0.069 | Provided |
| Funding-rate crowding | 4% | -0.380 | -0.024 | Provided |
| Change in retail long/short ratio | 4% | -1.693 | -0.108 | Provided |
| Change in top-trader long/short ratio | 4% | 1.777 | +0.114 | Provided |
Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.
03 / AI analysis and content status
Continue checking the data and factors above, or open the current asset page to review other editions.
04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources
Data window 2026-09-23 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-24 00:00:00 UTC; data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:20.390 UTC; snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.
Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 1d)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/klines (XAUUSDT, 6h)
https://www.binance.com/fapi/v1/indexPriceKlines (XAUUSDT)
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://query1.finance.yahoo.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
https://www.binance.com
Yahoo Finance chart API (DX-Y.NYB, ^TNX)
https://publicreporting.cftc.gov/resource/72hh-3qpy.json (088691)
This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗
FACTS / SOURCES / CONTEXT
Page highlights and supporting materials
What period and materials does this archive cover?
Gold historical assessment for UTC trading day 2026-09-23: data and scores · AI text was not generated; the period's data, scoring version and sources are retained. For reviewing observations from that period; historical views do not represent current market conditions.
Material date:(UTC trading day); status: data and scores · AI text not generated. Original dates and versions are retained.