Gold · 2026-09-24 Daily Assessment Archive

01 / Data and market review

Key data

• Close $4,269.28, UTC 2026-09-24 00:00 open $4,292.30, versus previous trading day（2026-09-23）Close $4,292.30 -0.54%
• Intraday high $4,306.87 / low $4,249.11, range 1.35%; 30-day range $4,243.81 – $4,673.50
• Momentum: 3-day -2.37%, 5-day -1.91%, 30-day -8.34%; daily volatility over 30 trading days 1.56%
• Daily EMA10 $4,333.60 / EMA20 $4,356.75, spread -0.54% (of closing price), death-cross status (EMA10 below EMA20); latest crossover: 2026-09-10 death cross, 10 trading days ago
• US Dollar Index 101.10 → 101.29（+0.19%）, 5-day +1.07%
• US 10-year Treasury yield 5.114% → 5.162%（+4.8bp）, 5-day +21.5bp
• Perpetual futures volume 493000 ounces (approximately 2109 million USDT); volume over the past 5 trading days versus the previous 5 days -12.44%
• Perpetual open interest 115000 → 120000 ounces (+4.26%), notional value approximately $514 million
• Funding rate (settled every 4 hours), daily average +0.0054%, previous 7-day average +0.0050%, approximately annualized +11.9%
• 24h aggregate aggressive buy/sell ratio 0.961 (buy 242000 / sell 251000ounces); 9/24 hours buyer-dominated
• Market-wide account long/short ratio 4.757 → 5.042 (+6.00%); large-trader account long/short ratio 5.711 → 6.163 (+7.91%)
• CFTC positioning report (2026-09-15): COMEX gold managed-money net long 133,116 contracts, weekly change -1,856 contracts (weekly data; excluded from trend score)

24H market review

• Asian session (UTC 00:00–06:00): $4,292.30 → $4,282.92, -0.22%, range $4,277.10 – $4,306.87, volume 98,000 ounces (20% of daily total)
• European session (UTC 06:00–12:00): $4,283.04 → $4,269.91, -0.31%, range $4,249.11 – $4,291.22, volume 145,000 ounces (29.4% of daily total)
• Americas session (UTC 12:00–18:00): $4,269.92 → $4,268.78, -0.03%, range $4,250.00 – $4,291.96, volume 188,000 ounces (38.2% of daily total), the day's high-volume session
• Late U.S. session (UTC 18:00–24:00): $4,268.78 → $4,269.28, +0.01%, range $4,260.74 – $4,285.38, volume 61000 ounces (12.4% of daily total)

02 / Scoring basis

Factor values and contributions follow this period's scoring version 2026-09-25.gold.2 and are not recalculated on the details page.

03 / AI analysis and content status

System assessment: “Bearish bias”, trend score -0.75, confidence 0.64; previous trading day trend score -1.33, also “Bearish bias”, the bearish score moderated but the direction was unchanged. Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract closed at $4,269.28, down 0.54%, 3-day change -2.37%, 5-day change -1.91%, 30-day change -8.34%. US Dollar Index closed at 101.29, up 0.19%; US 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.162%, up 4.8bp. The USD and US Treasury yields generally move inversely to gold prices, both strengthened that day, creating macro pressure, but this does not establish the specific cause of price changes. Perpetual open interest rose from 11.5 × 10,000 ounces to 12.0 × 10,000 ounces, average daily funding rate +0.0054%, taker buy/sell ratio 0.961. Next trading day, monitor the intraday high of $4,306.87, low of $4,249.11, and the 30-day range $4,243.81 – $4,673.50 to see whether its lower boundary is retested.

Key data

• The perpetual contract opened at $4,292.30, reached a high of $4,306.87 and low of $4,249.11, and closed at $4,269.28, down 0.54%, with a range amplitude of 1.35%, closing near the intraday low.
• Daily EMA10 is $4,333.60 and EMA20 is $4,356.75, with a spread of -0.54% of close, in a bearish crossover state; the last bearish crossover was 2026-09-10, 10 trading days ago.
• The U.S. Dollar Index closed at 101.29 versus 101.10 previously, up 0.19%, with a 5-day change of +1.07%; dollar strength typically weighs on gold prices.
• The 10-year US Treasury yield closed at 5.162%, versus 5.114% previously, up 4.8bp, with a 5-day change of +21.5bp; rising yields generally increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Volume of 493,000 ounces and notional turnover of 2.109 billion USDT; volume over the latest 5 days changed -12.44% against the previous 5 days. Open interest rose from 115,000 to 120,000 ounces (+4.26%), with notional value of USD 514 million.
• CFTC managed-money net longs 133,116 contracts (report date 2026-09-15), weekly change -1,856 contracts, representing 32.5% of open interest; this weekly data is excluded from the trend score.

24H market review

• Asian session opened at $4,292.30 and closed at $4,282.92, with a high of $4,306.87 and low of $4,277.10, down 0.22%; volume was 98,000 ounces, 20% of the daily total, with a retreat after an initial rise.
• The European session opened at $4,283.04 and closed at $4,269.91, with a high of $4,291.22 and low of $4,249.11, down 0.31%; volume was 145,000 ounces, or 29.4%, setting the daily low.
• The Americas session opened at $4,269.92 and closed at $4,268.78, with a high of $4,291.96 and low of $4,250.00, down 0.03%; volume was 188,000 ounces, or 38.2%, the largest of the four sessions, while price was nearly flat.
• Late US session opened at $4,268.78 and closed at $4,269.28, with a high of $4,285.38 and low of $4,260.74, up 0.01%; volume was 61,000 ounces, representing 12.4%, the weakest volume, with a narrow range and flat close.

Long/short dynamics

• Bear case: the close fell 0.54%, 3-day and 5-day momentum are negative, and the daily death cross remains; the dollar rose 0.19%, yields increased 4.8 bp, and aggressive selling of 251,000 ounces exceeded buying of 242,000 ounces.
• Bullish side: perpetual-futures open interest increased 4.26%; the top-trader long/short ratio rose from 5.711 to 6.163 (+7.91%); the retail long/short ratio rose to 5.042; long accounts represented 83.45%; the average daily funding rate remained +0.0054%.
• Overall: trend score -0.75. Among factor contributions, US Treasury yield change -0.13, daily change -0.121, US Dollar Index change -0.114 and 3-day momentum -0.113 were the main drags; funding-rate change +0.008 and top-trader long/short ratio change +0.025 provided only slight offsets.
• Price fell while open interest rose; the taker buy/sell ratio was 0.961 and buying dominated only 9/24 hours, indicating incremental positions leaned toward selling. A high share of long accounts failed to reverse the day's decline.

Risk notice

• The US Dollar Index and US Treasury yields strengthened on the same day, with 5-day changes of +1.07% and +21.5bp respectively. Macro pressure persists, but the data alone do not establish the specific cause of that day's gold price decline.
• The $4,269.28 close is near the lower end of the 30-day range at $4,243.81, with 30-day realized volatility of 1.56%. A retest of the European-session low of $4,249.11 could amplify volatility; this is an observation point, not a trading instruction.
• Retail and large-trader long/short ratios rose on the same day, with long accounts at 83.45%, while price and the aggressive buy/sell ratio were weak, indicating crowded positioning and price divergence; CFTC data is weekly background and excluded from the trend score.

AI text generated: 2026-09-25 14:55:15.448 UTC · Model grok-4.7. The above retains the results generated at that time; subsequent market changes require separate checking.

04 / Timing, measurement bases and data sources

Data window 2026-09-24 00:00:00 UTC → 2026-09-25 00:00:00 UTC. Data archive generated 2026-09-25 14:54:34.606 UTC; Snapshot included on this page 2026-10-05 13:28:08 UTC.

Gold quotes use the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual contract, in USDT / one ounce of the contract underlying. Dates for weekly positioning and macroeconomic data follow the original component texts and must not be treated as synchronized daily data.

This page's data comes from existing site archives.View original daily JSON ↗

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